Wilmar International Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 23.2

WLMIY Stock  USD 23.02  0.37  1.63%   
Wilmar International's future price is the expected price of Wilmar International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilmar International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilmar International Backtesting, Wilmar International Valuation, Wilmar International Correlation, Wilmar International Hype Analysis, Wilmar International Volatility, Wilmar International History as well as Wilmar International Performance.
  
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Wilmar International Target Price Odds to finish below 23.2

The tendency of Wilmar Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 23.20  after 90 days
 23.02 90 days 23.20 
about 12.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmar International to stay under $ 23.20  after 90 days from now is about 12.6 (This Wilmar International probability density function shows the probability of Wilmar Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilmar International price to stay between its current price of $ 23.02  and $ 23.20  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wilmar International has a beta of -0.42. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wilmar International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wilmar International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wilmar International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wilmar International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilmar International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmar International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.8123.0225.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7419.9525.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.6322.8425.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.5622.9623.36
Details

Wilmar International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmar International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmar International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmar International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmar International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0017
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Wilmar International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmar International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmar International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmar International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wilmar International has accumulated about 7.69 B in cash with (45.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.26.

Wilmar International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilmar Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilmar International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilmar International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.3 B

Wilmar International Technical Analysis

Wilmar International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmar Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmar International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmar Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilmar International Predictive Forecast Models

Wilmar International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmar International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmar International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilmar International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmar International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmar International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmar International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wilmar International has accumulated about 7.69 B in cash with (45.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.26.

Additional Tools for Wilmar Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Wilmar International's price analysis, check to measure Wilmar International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wilmar International is operating at the current time. Most of Wilmar International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wilmar International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wilmar International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wilmar International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.