Wesmark Tactical Opportunity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.92
| WMKTX Fund | USD 11.92 0.08 0.67% |
Wesmark |
Wesmark Tactical Target Price Odds to finish over 11.92
The tendency of Wesmark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.92 | 90 days | 11.92 | about 45.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wesmark Tactical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.72 (This Wesmark Tactical Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of Wesmark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wesmark Tactical has a beta of 0.39. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wesmark Tactical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wesmark Tactical Opportunity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wesmark Tactical Opportunity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wesmark Tactical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wesmark Tactical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wesmark Tactical Opp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wesmark Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wesmark Tactical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wesmark Tactical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wesmark Tactical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wesmark Tactical Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wesmark Tactical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Wesmark Tactical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wesmark Tactical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wesmark Tactical Opp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund keeps about 6.94% of its net assets in cash |
Wesmark Tactical Technical Analysis
Wesmark Tactical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wesmark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wesmark Tactical Opportunity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wesmark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wesmark Tactical Predictive Forecast Models
Wesmark Tactical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wesmark Tactical's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wesmark Tactical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wesmark Tactical Opp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wesmark Tactical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wesmark Tactical Opp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund keeps about 6.94% of its net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Wesmark Mutual Fund
Wesmark Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wesmark Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wesmark with respect to the benefits of owning Wesmark Tactical security.
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