Worthington Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.75

WOR Stock  USD 41.37  0.26  0.63%   
Worthington Industries' future price is the expected price of Worthington Industries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Worthington Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Worthington Industries Backtesting, Worthington Industries Valuation, Worthington Industries Correlation, Worthington Industries Hype Analysis, Worthington Industries Volatility, Worthington Industries History as well as Worthington Industries Performance.
To learn how to invest in Worthington Stock, please use our How to Invest in Worthington Industries guide.
  
At this time, Worthington Industries' Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/26/2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 14.66, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 1.72. Please specify Worthington Industries' target price for which you would like Worthington Industries odds to be computed.

Worthington Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 49.75

The tendency of Worthington Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 49.75  after 90 days
 41.37 90 days 49.75 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Worthington Industries to stay under $ 49.75  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Worthington Industries probability density function shows the probability of Worthington Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Worthington Industries price to stay between its current price of $ 41.37  and $ 49.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.52 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Worthington Industries has a beta of 0.91. This entails Worthington Industries market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Worthington Industries is expected to follow. Additionally Worthington Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Worthington Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Worthington Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Worthington Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.6241.1043.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.0052.9555.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.5242.0044.48
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
59.1565.0072.15
Details

Worthington Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Worthington Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Worthington Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Worthington Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Worthington Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Worthington Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Worthington Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Worthington Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Worthington Industries has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 13th of December 2024 Worthington Industries paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Trading

Worthington Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Worthington Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Worthington Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Worthington Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments244.2 M

Worthington Industries Technical Analysis

Worthington Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Worthington Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Worthington Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Worthington Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Worthington Industries Predictive Forecast Models

Worthington Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Worthington Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Worthington Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Worthington Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about Worthington Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Worthington Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Worthington Industries has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 13th of December 2024 Worthington Industries paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Trading

Additional Tools for Worthington Stock Analysis

When running Worthington Industries' price analysis, check to measure Worthington Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Worthington Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Worthington Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Worthington Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Worthington Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Worthington Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.