West International (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.63

WPAY Stock  SEK 0.56  0.01  1.82%   
West International's future price is the expected price of West International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of West International AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out West International Backtesting, West International Valuation, West International Correlation, West International Hype Analysis, West International Volatility, West International History as well as West International Performance.
  
Please specify West International's target price for which you would like West International odds to be computed.

West International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.63

The tendency of West Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 0.63  after 90 days
 0.56 90 days 0.63 
about 34.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of West International to stay under kr 0.63  after 90 days from now is about 34.3 (This West International AB probability density function shows the probability of West Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of West International price to stay between its current price of kr 0.56  and kr 0.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon West International has a beta of 0.52. This entails as returns on the market go up, West International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding West International AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally West International AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   West International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for West International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.564.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.534.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.584.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.530.600.67
Details

West International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. West International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the West International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold West International AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of West International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

West International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of West International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for West International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
West International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
West International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
West International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 53.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.07 M.
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

West International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of West Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential West International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. West International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.5 M

West International Technical Analysis

West International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. West Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of West International AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing West Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

West International Predictive Forecast Models

West International's time-series forecasting models is one of many West International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary West International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about West International

Checking the ongoing alerts about West International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for West International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
West International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
West International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
West International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 53.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.07 M.
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for West Stock Analysis

When running West International's price analysis, check to measure West International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy West International is operating at the current time. Most of West International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of West International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move West International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of West International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.