Westcore Plus Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.21

WTIBX Fund  USD 9.48  0.01  0.11%   
Westcore Plus' future price is the expected price of Westcore Plus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Westcore Plus Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Westcore Plus Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Westcore Plus Correlation, Westcore Plus Hype Analysis, Westcore Plus Volatility, Westcore Plus History as well as Westcore Plus Performance.
  
Please specify Westcore Plus' target price for which you would like Westcore Plus odds to be computed.

Westcore Plus Target Price Odds to finish below 9.21

The tendency of Westcore Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.21  or more in 90 days
 9.48 90 days 9.21 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Westcore Plus to drop to $ 9.21  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Westcore Plus Bond probability density function shows the probability of Westcore Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Westcore Plus Bond price to stay between $ 9.21  and its current price of $9.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Westcore Plus Bond has a beta of -0.0118. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Westcore Plus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Westcore Plus Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Westcore Plus Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Westcore Plus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Westcore Plus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westcore Plus Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.189.489.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.199.499.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.229.529.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.319.419.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Westcore Plus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Westcore Plus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Westcore Plus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Westcore Plus Bond.

Westcore Plus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Westcore Plus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Westcore Plus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Westcore Plus Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Westcore Plus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.49

Westcore Plus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Westcore Plus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Westcore Plus Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Westcore Plus Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Westcore Plus Bond keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.

Westcore Plus Technical Analysis

Westcore Plus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Westcore Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Westcore Plus Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Westcore Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Westcore Plus Predictive Forecast Models

Westcore Plus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Westcore Plus' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Westcore Plus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Westcore Plus Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Westcore Plus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Westcore Plus Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Westcore Plus Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Westcore Plus Bond keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Westcore Mutual Fund

Westcore Plus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Westcore Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Westcore with respect to the benefits of owning Westcore Plus security.
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