Acadia Realty (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.54
| WX1 Stock | EUR 22.80 0.20 0.87% |
Acadia |
Acadia Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 23.54
The tendency of Acadia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 23.54 or more in 90 days |
| 22.80 | 90 days | 23.54 | about 24.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acadia Realty to move over € 23.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 24.68 (This Acadia Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Acadia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acadia Realty Trust price to stay between its current price of € 22.80 and € 23.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Acadia Realty has a beta of 0.32. This entails as returns on the market go up, Acadia Realty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acadia Realty Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acadia Realty Trust has an alpha of 0.1877, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Acadia Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Acadia Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acadia Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Acadia Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acadia Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acadia Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acadia Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acadia Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Acadia Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acadia Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acadia Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Acadia Realty Trust has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Acadia Realty Trust has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 326.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 191.46 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Acadia Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acadia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acadia Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadia Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.1 M |
Acadia Realty Technical Analysis
Acadia Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acadia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acadia Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acadia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acadia Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Acadia Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acadia Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acadia Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acadia Realty Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acadia Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acadia Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Acadia Realty Trust has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Acadia Realty Trust has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 326.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 191.46 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Acadia Stock
When determining whether Acadia Realty Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Acadia Realty's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Acadia Realty's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Acadia Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Acadia Realty Backtesting, Acadia Realty Valuation, Acadia Realty Correlation, Acadia Realty Hype Analysis, Acadia Realty Volatility, Acadia Realty History as well as Acadia Realty Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.