Omega Healthcare (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.52

WX4 Stock  EUR 37.42  0.13  0.35%   
Omega Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Omega Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Omega Healthcare Investors performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Omega Healthcare Backtesting, Omega Healthcare Valuation, Omega Healthcare Correlation, Omega Healthcare Hype Analysis, Omega Healthcare Volatility, Omega Healthcare History as well as Omega Healthcare Performance.
  
Please specify Omega Healthcare's target price for which you would like Omega Healthcare odds to be computed.

Omega Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 33.52

The tendency of Omega Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 33.52  or more in 90 days
 37.42 90 days 33.52 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omega Healthcare to drop to € 33.52  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Omega Healthcare Investors probability density function shows the probability of Omega Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omega Healthcare Inv price to stay between € 33.52  and its current price of €37.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Omega Healthcare Investors has a beta of -0.22. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Omega Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Omega Healthcare Investors is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Omega Healthcare Investors has an alpha of 0.1414, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Omega Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Omega Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omega Healthcare Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.8337.4239.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.7937.3838.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.6338.2239.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.4838.0838.68
Details

Omega Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omega Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omega Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omega Healthcare Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omega Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Omega Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omega Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omega Healthcare Inv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Omega Healthcare Inv has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Omega Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omega Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omega Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omega Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding234.3 M
Dividends Paid632.9 M
Short Long Term Debt19.2 M

Omega Healthcare Technical Analysis

Omega Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omega Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omega Healthcare Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omega Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Omega Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Omega Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Omega Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omega Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Omega Healthcare Inv

Checking the ongoing alerts about Omega Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omega Healthcare Inv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Omega Healthcare Inv has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Omega Stock

When determining whether Omega Healthcare Inv offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Omega Healthcare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Omega Healthcare Investors Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Omega Healthcare Investors Stock:
Check out Omega Healthcare Backtesting, Omega Healthcare Valuation, Omega Healthcare Correlation, Omega Healthcare Hype Analysis, Omega Healthcare Volatility, Omega Healthcare History as well as Omega Healthcare Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omega Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Omega Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omega Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.