Xenetic Biosciences Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.54
| XBIOWDelisted Stock | USD 17.54 0.00 0.00% |
Xenetic |
Xenetic Biosciences Target Price Odds to finish below 17.54
The tendency of Xenetic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 17.54 | 90 days | 17.54 | over 95.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xenetic Biosciences to move below current price in 90 days from now is over 95.62 (This Xenetic Biosciences probability density function shows the probability of Xenetic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Xenetic Biosciences has a beta of 0.67. This entails as returns on the market go up, Xenetic Biosciences average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xenetic Biosciences will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Xenetic Biosciences has an alpha of 1.6207, implying that it can generate a 1.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xenetic Biosciences Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xenetic Biosciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xenetic Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xenetic Biosciences Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xenetic Biosciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xenetic Biosciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xenetic Biosciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xenetic Biosciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Xenetic Biosciences Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xenetic Biosciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xenetic Biosciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xenetic Biosciences is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Xenetic Biosciences has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Xenetic Biosciences has accumulated about 2.02 M in cash with (4.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.32. |
Xenetic Biosciences Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xenetic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xenetic Biosciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xenetic Biosciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9 M |
Xenetic Biosciences Technical Analysis
Xenetic Biosciences' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xenetic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xenetic Biosciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xenetic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xenetic Biosciences Predictive Forecast Models
Xenetic Biosciences' time-series forecasting models is one of many Xenetic Biosciences' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xenetic Biosciences' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xenetic Biosciences
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xenetic Biosciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xenetic Biosciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xenetic Biosciences is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Xenetic Biosciences has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Xenetic Biosciences has accumulated about 2.02 M in cash with (4.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.32. |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Other Consideration for investing in Xenetic Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Xenetic Biosciences check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Xenetic Biosciences' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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