ExcelFin Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.025

XFINWDelisted Stock  USD 0.07  0.07  50.00%   
ExcelFin Acquisition's future price is the expected price of ExcelFin Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ExcelFin Acquisition Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify ExcelFin Acquisition's target price for which you would like ExcelFin Acquisition odds to be computed.

ExcelFin Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 0.025

The tendency of ExcelFin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.03  in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.03 
about 77.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ExcelFin Acquisition to stay above $ 0.03  in 90 days from now is about 77.85 (This ExcelFin Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of ExcelFin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ExcelFin Acquisition Corp price to stay between $ 0.03  and its current price of $0.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ExcelFin Acquisition Corp has a beta of -2.9. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding ExcelFin Acquisition Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, ExcelFin Acquisition is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that ExcelFin Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 4.2752, implying that it can generate a 4.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ExcelFin Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ExcelFin Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ExcelFin Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0949.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0749.84
Details

ExcelFin Acquisition Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ExcelFin Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ExcelFin Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ExcelFin Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ExcelFin Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.9
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

ExcelFin Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ExcelFin Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ExcelFin Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ExcelFin Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
ExcelFin Acquisition is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ExcelFin Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ExcelFin Acquisition appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ExcelFin Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (3.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
ExcelFin Acquisition generates negative cash flow from operations

ExcelFin Acquisition Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ExcelFin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ExcelFin Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ExcelFin Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments45.2 K

ExcelFin Acquisition Technical Analysis

ExcelFin Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ExcelFin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ExcelFin Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing ExcelFin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ExcelFin Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models

ExcelFin Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many ExcelFin Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ExcelFin Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ExcelFin Acquisition Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about ExcelFin Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ExcelFin Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ExcelFin Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
ExcelFin Acquisition is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ExcelFin Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ExcelFin Acquisition appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ExcelFin Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (3.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
ExcelFin Acquisition generates negative cash flow from operations
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Other Consideration for investing in ExcelFin Stock

If you are still planning to invest in ExcelFin Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ExcelFin Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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