Xinyuan Real Estate Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.72
| XIN Stock | USD 2.64 0.06 2.22% |
Xinyuan |
Xinyuan Real Target Price Odds to finish over 11.72
The tendency of Xinyuan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.72 or more in 90 days |
| 2.64 | 90 days | 11.72 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xinyuan Real to move over $ 11.72 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Xinyuan Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Xinyuan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xinyuan Real Estate price to stay between its current price of $ 2.64 and $ 11.72 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Xinyuan Real Estate has a beta of -0.23. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xinyuan Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xinyuan Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xinyuan Real Estate has an alpha of 0.3964, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xinyuan Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xinyuan Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xinyuan Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xinyuan Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xinyuan Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xinyuan Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xinyuan Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xinyuan Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Xinyuan Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xinyuan Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xinyuan Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xinyuan Real Estate had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Xinyuan Real Estate has about 426.4 M in cash with (270.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 78.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Xinyuan Real Estate has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Xinyuan Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xinyuan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xinyuan Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinyuan Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134.7 M |
Xinyuan Real Technical Analysis
Xinyuan Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xinyuan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xinyuan Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xinyuan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xinyuan Real Predictive Forecast Models
Xinyuan Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xinyuan Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xinyuan Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xinyuan Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xinyuan Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xinyuan Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xinyuan Real Estate had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Xinyuan Real Estate has about 426.4 M in cash with (270.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 78.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Xinyuan Real Estate has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Check out Xinyuan Real Backtesting, Xinyuan Real Valuation, Xinyuan Real Correlation, Xinyuan Real Hype Analysis, Xinyuan Real Volatility, Xinyuan Real History as well as Xinyuan Real Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xinyuan Real. If investors know Xinyuan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xinyuan Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Xinyuan Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xinyuan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xinyuan Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xinyuan Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xinyuan Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xinyuan Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xinyuan Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xinyuan Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xinyuan Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.