Xilio Development Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.11
| XLO Stock | USD 1.15 0.04 3.60% |
Xilio |
Xilio Development Target Price Odds to finish below 1.11
The tendency of Xilio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.11 or more in 90 days |
| 1.15 | 90 days | 1.11 | about 81.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xilio Development to drop to $ 1.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.05 (This Xilio Development probability density function shows the probability of Xilio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xilio Development price to stay between $ 1.11 and its current price of $1.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.69 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.39 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Xilio Development will likely underperform. Additionally Xilio Development has an alpha of 0.857, implying that it can generate a 0.86 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xilio Development Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xilio Development
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xilio Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xilio Development Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xilio Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xilio Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xilio Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xilio Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Xilio Development Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xilio Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xilio Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xilio Development is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Xilio Development may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Xilio Development appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Xilio Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (76.4 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (56.77 M). | |
| Xilio Development has about 159.41 M in cash with (68.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.82, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Xilio Development has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Gilead Sciences, Inc. of 1759978 shares of Xilio Development at 1.04 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Xilio Development Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xilio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xilio Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xilio Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.7 M |
Xilio Development Technical Analysis
Xilio Development's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xilio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xilio Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xilio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xilio Development Predictive Forecast Models
Xilio Development's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xilio Development's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xilio Development's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xilio Development
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xilio Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xilio Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xilio Development is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Xilio Development may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Xilio Development appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Xilio Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (76.4 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (56.77 M). | |
| Xilio Development has about 159.41 M in cash with (68.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.82, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Xilio Development has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Gilead Sciences, Inc. of 1759978 shares of Xilio Development at 1.04 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Xilio Development Backtesting, Xilio Development Valuation, Xilio Development Correlation, Xilio Development Hype Analysis, Xilio Development Volatility, Xilio Development History as well as Xilio Development Performance. To learn how to invest in Xilio Stock, please use our How to Invest in Xilio Development guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xilio Development. If investors know Xilio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xilio Development listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.55) | Revenue Per Share 0.105 | Return On Assets (0.53) | Return On Equity (1.71) |
The market value of Xilio Development is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xilio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xilio Development's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xilio Development's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xilio Development's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xilio Development's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xilio Development's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xilio Development is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xilio Development's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.