YASKAWA ELEC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 73.53

YEC0 Stock  EUR 48.60  0.40  0.82%   
YASKAWA ELEC's future price is the expected price of YASKAWA ELEC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of YASKAWA ELEC UNSP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out YASKAWA ELEC Backtesting, YASKAWA ELEC Valuation, YASKAWA ELEC Correlation, YASKAWA ELEC Hype Analysis, YASKAWA ELEC Volatility, YASKAWA ELEC History as well as YASKAWA ELEC Performance.
  
Please specify YASKAWA ELEC's target price for which you would like YASKAWA ELEC odds to be computed.

YASKAWA ELEC Target Price Odds to finish over 73.53

The tendency of YASKAWA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 73.53  or more in 90 days
 48.60 90 days 73.53 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of YASKAWA ELEC to move over € 73.53  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This YASKAWA ELEC UNSP probability density function shows the probability of YASKAWA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of YASKAWA ELEC UNSP price to stay between its current price of € 48.60  and € 73.53  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon YASKAWA ELEC has a beta of 0.0189. This entails as returns on the market go up, YASKAWA ELEC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding YASKAWA ELEC UNSP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally YASKAWA ELEC UNSP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   YASKAWA ELEC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for YASKAWA ELEC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YASKAWA ELEC UNSP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.7148.6050.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.0843.9753.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.6551.5453.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.3949.5952.79
Details

YASKAWA ELEC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. YASKAWA ELEC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the YASKAWA ELEC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold YASKAWA ELEC UNSP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of YASKAWA ELEC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
3.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

YASKAWA ELEC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of YASKAWA ELEC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for YASKAWA ELEC UNSP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
YASKAWA ELEC UNSP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

YASKAWA ELEC Technical Analysis

YASKAWA ELEC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. YASKAWA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of YASKAWA ELEC UNSP. In general, you should focus on analyzing YASKAWA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

YASKAWA ELEC Predictive Forecast Models

YASKAWA ELEC's time-series forecasting models is one of many YASKAWA ELEC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary YASKAWA ELEC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about YASKAWA ELEC UNSP

Checking the ongoing alerts about YASKAWA ELEC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for YASKAWA ELEC UNSP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
YASKAWA ELEC UNSP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in YASKAWA Stock

YASKAWA ELEC financial ratios help investors to determine whether YASKAWA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in YASKAWA with respect to the benefits of owning YASKAWA ELEC security.