Yatra Online Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.47
| YTRA Stock | USD 1.29 0.02 1.53% |
Yatra |
Yatra Online Target Price Odds to finish over 8.47
The tendency of Yatra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.47 or more in 90 days |
| 1.29 | 90 days | 8.47 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yatra Online to move over $ 8.47 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Yatra Online probability density function shows the probability of Yatra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yatra Online price to stay between its current price of $ 1.29 and $ 8.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Yatra Online has a beta of 0.63. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yatra Online average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yatra Online will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yatra Online has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Yatra Online Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yatra Online
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yatra Online. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yatra Online Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yatra Online is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yatra Online's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yatra Online, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yatra Online within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Yatra Online Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yatra Online for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yatra Online can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yatra Online generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Yatra Online may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Yatra Online has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (45.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 776.4 M. | |
| Yatra Online currently holds about 1.37 B in cash with (1.43 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Yatra Online has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Qifu, Yatra Online and Dr. Reddys |
Yatra Online Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yatra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yatra Online's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yatra Online's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 B |
Yatra Online Technical Analysis
Yatra Online's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yatra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yatra Online. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yatra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yatra Online Predictive Forecast Models
Yatra Online's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yatra Online's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yatra Online's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yatra Online
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yatra Online for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yatra Online help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yatra Online generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Yatra Online may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Yatra Online has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (45.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 776.4 M. | |
| Yatra Online currently holds about 1.37 B in cash with (1.43 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Yatra Online has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Qifu, Yatra Online and Dr. Reddys |
Check out Yatra Online Backtesting, Yatra Online Valuation, Yatra Online Correlation, Yatra Online Hype Analysis, Yatra Online Volatility, Yatra Online History as well as Yatra Online Performance. For information on how to trade Yatra Stock refer to our How to Trade Yatra Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yatra Online. If investors know Yatra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yatra Online listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share 66.465 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Yatra Online is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yatra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yatra Online's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yatra Online's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yatra Online's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yatra Online's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yatra Online's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yatra Online is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yatra Online's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.