Zapp Electric Vehicles Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0097

ZAPPW Stock   0.01  0.0003  3.00%   
Zapp Electric's future price is the expected price of Zapp Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zapp Electric Vehicles performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zapp Electric Backtesting, Zapp Electric Valuation, Zapp Electric Correlation, Zapp Electric Hype Analysis, Zapp Electric Volatility, Zapp Electric History as well as Zapp Electric Performance.
  
Please specify Zapp Electric's target price for which you would like Zapp Electric odds to be computed.

Zapp Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0097

The tendency of Zapp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 70.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zapp Electric to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 70.19 (This Zapp Electric Vehicles probability density function shows the probability of Zapp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Zapp Electric Vehicles has a beta of -0.25. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zapp Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zapp Electric Vehicles is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zapp Electric Vehicles has an alpha of 0.3224, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zapp Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zapp Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zapp Electric Vehicles. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.016.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.016.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.016.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Zapp Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zapp Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zapp Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zapp Electric Vehicles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zapp Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.0005
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Zapp Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zapp Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zapp Electric Vehicles can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zapp Electric had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Zapp Electric has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Zapp Electric has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (222.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Zapp Electric generates negative cash flow from operations

Zapp Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zapp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zapp Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zapp Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M

Zapp Electric Technical Analysis

Zapp Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zapp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zapp Electric Vehicles. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zapp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zapp Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Zapp Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zapp Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zapp Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zapp Electric Vehicles

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zapp Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zapp Electric Vehicles help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zapp Electric had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Zapp Electric has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Zapp Electric has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (222.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Zapp Electric generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for Zapp Stock Analysis

When running Zapp Electric's price analysis, check to measure Zapp Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zapp Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Zapp Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zapp Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zapp Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zapp Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.