Zhibao Technology Class Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.79

ZBAO Stock   2.34  0.12  4.88%   
Zhibao Technology's future price is the expected price of Zhibao Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhibao Technology Class performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhibao Technology Backtesting, Zhibao Technology Valuation, Zhibao Technology Correlation, Zhibao Technology Hype Analysis, Zhibao Technology Volatility, Zhibao Technology History as well as Zhibao Technology Performance.
  
At this time, Zhibao Technology's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 13th of December 2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 25.03, though Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (15.31). Please specify Zhibao Technology's target price for which you would like Zhibao Technology odds to be computed.

Zhibao Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 2.79

The tendency of Zhibao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  2.79  after 90 days
 2.34 90 days 2.79 
about 9.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhibao Technology to stay under  2.79  after 90 days from now is about 9.19 (This Zhibao Technology Class probability density function shows the probability of Zhibao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhibao Technology Class price to stay between its current price of  2.34  and  2.79  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Zhibao Technology has a beta of 0.42. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zhibao Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zhibao Technology Class will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zhibao Technology Class has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Zhibao Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhibao Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhibao Technology Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.578.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.358.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhibao Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhibao Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhibao Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhibao Technology Class.

Zhibao Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhibao Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhibao Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhibao Technology Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhibao Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Zhibao Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhibao Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhibao Technology Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhibao Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Zhibao Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Zhibao Technology has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Zhibao Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
Zhibao Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: With A 27 percent Price Drop For Zhibao Technology Inc. Youll Still Get What You Pay For

Zhibao Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhibao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhibao Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhibao Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.5 M

Zhibao Technology Technical Analysis

Zhibao Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhibao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhibao Technology Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhibao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhibao Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Zhibao Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhibao Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhibao Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhibao Technology Class

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhibao Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhibao Technology Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhibao Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Zhibao Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Zhibao Technology has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Zhibao Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
Zhibao Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: With A 27 percent Price Drop For Zhibao Technology Inc. Youll Still Get What You Pay For
When determining whether Zhibao Technology Class offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Zhibao Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zhibao Technology Class Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zhibao Technology Class Stock:
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zhibao Technology. If investors know Zhibao will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zhibao Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.27)
Revenue Per Share
12.565
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
(2.75)
The market value of Zhibao Technology Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zhibao that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zhibao Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zhibao Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zhibao Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zhibao Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zhibao Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zhibao Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zhibao Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.