Jin Medical International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.55
| ZJYL Stock | 0.76 0.03 3.80% |
JIN |
JIN MEDICAL Target Price Odds to finish over 0.55
The tendency of JIN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.55 in 90 days |
| 0.76 | 90 days | 0.55 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JIN MEDICAL to stay above 0.55 in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL probability density function shows the probability of JIN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL price to stay between 0.55 and its current price of 0.76 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This usually means as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JIN MEDICAL will likely underperform. Additionally JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JIN MEDICAL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JIN MEDICAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JIN MEDICAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JIN MEDICAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JIN MEDICAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JIN MEDICAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JIN MEDICAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
JIN MEDICAL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JIN MEDICAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JIN MEDICAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| JIN MEDICAL has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| JIN MEDICAL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should Weakness in Jin Medical International Ltd.s Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials |
JIN MEDICAL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JIN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JIN MEDICAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JIN MEDICAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 145.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.7 M |
JIN MEDICAL Technical Analysis
JIN MEDICAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JIN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL. In general, you should focus on analyzing JIN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JIN MEDICAL Predictive Forecast Models
JIN MEDICAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many JIN MEDICAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JIN MEDICAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL
Checking the ongoing alerts about JIN MEDICAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JIN MEDICAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| JIN MEDICAL has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| JIN MEDICAL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should Weakness in Jin Medical International Ltd.s Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials |
Check out JIN MEDICAL Backtesting, JIN MEDICAL Valuation, JIN MEDICAL Correlation, JIN MEDICAL Hype Analysis, JIN MEDICAL Volatility, JIN MEDICAL History as well as JIN MEDICAL Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JIN MEDICAL. If investors know JIN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JIN MEDICAL listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Earnings Share 0.02 | Revenue Per Share 0.129 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 | Return On Assets 0.0403 |
The market value of JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JIN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JIN MEDICAL's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JIN MEDICAL's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JIN MEDICAL's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JIN MEDICAL's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JIN MEDICAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JIN MEDICAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JIN MEDICAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.