Zoom Video Communications Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 91.36

ZM Stock  USD 85.60  1.55  1.84%   
Zoom Video's future price is the expected price of Zoom Video instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zoom Video Communications performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zoom Video Backtesting, Zoom Video Valuation, Zoom Video Correlation, Zoom Video Hype Analysis, Zoom Video Volatility, Zoom Video History as well as Zoom Video Performance.
  
At this time, Zoom Video's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of December 2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 2.54, while Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 11.55. Please specify Zoom Video's target price for which you would like Zoom Video odds to be computed.

Zoom Video Target Price Odds to finish over 91.36

The tendency of Zoom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 91.36  or more in 90 days
 85.60 90 days 91.36 
about 1.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zoom Video to move over $ 91.36  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.92 (This Zoom Video Communications probability density function shows the probability of Zoom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zoom Video Communications price to stay between its current price of $ 85.60  and $ 91.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.73 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This usually means Zoom Video Communications market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Zoom Video is expected to follow. Additionally Zoom Video Communications has an alpha of 0.3628, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zoom Video Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zoom Video

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zoom Video Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.1285.2787.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.6586.8088.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.4985.6587.80
Details
33 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
70.1777.1185.59
Details

Zoom Video Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zoom Video is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zoom Video's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zoom Video Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zoom Video within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
6.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Zoom Video Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zoom Video for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zoom Video Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Zoom Poised for Over 18 percent Upside Jefferies Cites AI Potential and Business Expansion

Zoom Video Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zoom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zoom Video's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zoom Video's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding308.5 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Zoom Video Technical Analysis

Zoom Video's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zoom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zoom Video Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zoom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zoom Video Predictive Forecast Models

Zoom Video's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zoom Video's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zoom Video's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zoom Video Communications

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zoom Video for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zoom Video Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Zoom Poised for Over 18 percent Upside Jefferies Cites AI Potential and Business Expansion
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zoom Video. If investors know Zoom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zoom Video listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.173
Earnings Share
3.01
Revenue Per Share
14.962
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.021
Return On Assets
0.0478
The market value of Zoom Video Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zoom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zoom Video's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zoom Video's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zoom Video's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zoom Video's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zoom Video's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zoom Video is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zoom Video's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.