Zevenbergen Genea Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 52.8

ZVGNX Fund  USD 53.29  0.99  1.89%   
Zevenbergen Genea's future price is the expected price of Zevenbergen Genea instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zevenbergen Genea Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zevenbergen Genea Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Zevenbergen Genea Correlation, Zevenbergen Genea Hype Analysis, Zevenbergen Genea Volatility, Zevenbergen Genea History as well as Zevenbergen Genea Performance.
  
Please specify Zevenbergen Genea's target price for which you would like Zevenbergen Genea odds to be computed.

Zevenbergen Genea Target Price Odds to finish below 52.8

The tendency of Zevenbergen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 52.80  or more in 90 days
 53.29 90 days 52.80 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zevenbergen Genea to drop to $ 52.80  or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Zevenbergen Genea Fund probability density function shows the probability of Zevenbergen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zevenbergen Genea price to stay between $ 52.80  and its current price of $53.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This usually means Zevenbergen Genea Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Zevenbergen Genea is expected to follow. Additionally Zevenbergen Genea Fund has an alpha of 0.3398, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zevenbergen Genea Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zevenbergen Genea

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zevenbergen Genea. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.9353.2954.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.9656.4657.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.9952.3553.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.7052.5654.42
Details

Zevenbergen Genea Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zevenbergen Genea is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zevenbergen Genea's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zevenbergen Genea Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zevenbergen Genea within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.14
σ
Overall volatility
4.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Zevenbergen Genea Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zevenbergen Genea for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zevenbergen Genea can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.46% of its net assets in stocks

Zevenbergen Genea Technical Analysis

Zevenbergen Genea's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zevenbergen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zevenbergen Genea Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zevenbergen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zevenbergen Genea Predictive Forecast Models

Zevenbergen Genea's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zevenbergen Genea's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zevenbergen Genea's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zevenbergen Genea

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zevenbergen Genea for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zevenbergen Genea help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.46% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Zevenbergen Mutual Fund

Zevenbergen Genea financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zevenbergen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zevenbergen with respect to the benefits of owning Zevenbergen Genea security.
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