Zevenbergen Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 41.05

ZVNIX Fund  USD 41.51  0.33  0.79%   
Zevenbergen Growth's future price is the expected price of Zevenbergen Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zevenbergen Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zevenbergen Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Zevenbergen Growth Correlation, Zevenbergen Growth Hype Analysis, Zevenbergen Growth Volatility, Zevenbergen Growth History as well as Zevenbergen Growth Performance.
  
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Zevenbergen Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 41.05

The tendency of Zevenbergen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 41.05  or more in 90 days
 41.51 90 days 41.05 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zevenbergen Growth to drop to $ 41.05  or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Zevenbergen Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Zevenbergen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zevenbergen Growth price to stay between $ 41.05  and its current price of $41.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Zevenbergen Growth has a beta of 0.95. This usually means Zevenbergen Growth Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Zevenbergen Growth is expected to follow. Additionally Zevenbergen Growth Fund has an alpha of 0.2769, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zevenbergen Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zevenbergen Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zevenbergen Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.6341.8443.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.6644.5345.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.1941.3942.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.8838.3742.86
Details

Zevenbergen Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zevenbergen Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zevenbergen Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zevenbergen Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zevenbergen Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Zevenbergen Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zevenbergen Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zevenbergen Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 5.62% of its net assets in cash

Zevenbergen Growth Technical Analysis

Zevenbergen Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zevenbergen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zevenbergen Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zevenbergen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zevenbergen Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Zevenbergen Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zevenbergen Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zevenbergen Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zevenbergen Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zevenbergen Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zevenbergen Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 5.62% of its net assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Zevenbergen Mutual Fund

Zevenbergen Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zevenbergen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zevenbergen with respect to the benefits of owning Zevenbergen Growth security.
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