Acadia Pharmaceuticals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ACAD Stock  USD 16.29  0.08  0.49%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides ACADIA Pharmaceuticals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACAD positions.
  
Check out ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade ACADIA Stock refer to our How to Trade ACADIA Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ACADIA and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. ACADIA Pharmaceuticals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice

The ACADIA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ACADIA Pharmaceuticals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ACADIA Pharmaceuticals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ACADIA PharmaceuticalsBuy ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon ACADIA Pharmaceuticals has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0324, Jensen Alpha of (0.12), Total Risk Alpha of (0.27), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0411
Our trade recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on ACADIA Pharmaceuticals and to analyze the company potential to grow in the coming quarters. To make sure ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is not overpriced, please confirm all ACADIA Pharmaceuticals fundamentals, including its profit margin, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and number of shares shorted . Given that ACADIA Pharmaceuticals has a price to earning of (13.77) X, we suggest you to validate ACADIA Pharmaceuticals market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the coming quarters given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 726.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 145.49 M.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ACADIA HEALTHCARE COMPANY, INC. DEADLINE ALERT Bernstein Liebhard LLP Reminds ...

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ACADIA Pharmaceuticals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ACADIA Pharmaceuticals.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-3.24
Potential Upside
3.45
Standard Deviation
2.26
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ACADIA Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Palo Alto Investors, Llc2024-09-30
2.5 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
2.1 M
Tang Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
1.5 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
1.3 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Man Group Plc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2024-06-30
1.3 M
Baker Bros Advisors Lp2024-09-30
42.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
13.8 M
Note, although ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Other Non Cash Items(4.6M)44.3M75K(6.3M)(12.1M)(11.5M)
Capital Expenditures2.1M1.1M7.6M1.1M40.1M42.1M
Net Income(235.3M)(281.6M)(167.9M)(216.0M)(61.3M)(64.4M)
End Period Cash Flow194.5M331.8M153.2M120.6M188.7M198.1M
Change In Cash54.9M137.3M(178.6M)(32.6M)73.8M77.5M
Free Cash Flow(152.3M)(143.8M)(126.8M)(114.0M)(23.3M)(24.5M)
Depreciation2.8M2.9M3.3M2.0M5.6M5.8M
Change To Inventory(1.7M)(3.3M)(4.2M)2.4M(28.8M)(27.4M)
Investments(164.7M)200.1M(70.0M)73.2M32.0M33.6M
Change To Netincome81.3M130.0M61.3M61.9M71.2M56.3M
Change Receivables(9.4M)(10.1M)(12.4M)(15.1M)(13.6M)(12.9M)

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ACADIA Pharmaceuticals or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ACADIA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.60
σ
Overall volatility
2.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Volatility Alert

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ACADIA Pharmaceuticals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ACADIA Pharmaceuticals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ACADIA Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ACADIA Pharmaceuticals to competition
FundamentalsACADIA PharmaceuticalsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.27-0.31
Return On Asset0.0872-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.19 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding166.39 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.54 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.09 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted10.24 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(13.77) X28.72 X
Price To Book4.70 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.92 X11.42 X
Revenue726.44 M9.43 B
Gross Profit145.49 M27.38 B
EBITDA(67.83 M)3.9 B
Net Income(61.29 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents436.35 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt57.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.15 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.53 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.47 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations16.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.48 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.78 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.42) X4.89 X
Target Price25.11
Number Of Employees62018.84 K
Beta0.38-0.15
Market Capitalization2.71 B19.03 B
Total Asset748.96 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.43 B)9.33 B
Working Capital361.87 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 9913 shares by Mark Schneyer of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ACADIA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ACADIA Pharmaceuticals? Buying financial instruments such as ACADIA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ACADIA Pharmaceuticals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Online Gaming Thematic Idea Now

Online Gaming
Online Gaming Theme
Companies that are involved in the building and marketing of online gaming-related products. The Online Gaming theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Online Gaming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is a strong investment it is important to analyze ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ACADIA Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade ACADIA Stock refer to our How to Trade ACADIA Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals. If investors know ACADIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ACADIA Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
28.347
Earnings Share
0.78
Revenue Per Share
5.622
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.183
Return On Assets
0.0872
The market value of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ACADIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.