Applied Blockchain Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

APLD Stock  USD 9.66  0.08  0.82%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Applied Blockchain is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Applied Blockchain buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding APLD positions.
  
Check out Applied Blockchain Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Applied Stock refer to our How to Trade Applied Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Applied and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Applied Blockchain. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Applied Blockchain Buy or Sell Advice

The Applied recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Applied Blockchain. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Applied Blockchain or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Applied Blockchain's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Applied BlockchainBuy Applied Blockchain
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Applied Blockchain has a Mean Deviation of 7.37, Semi Deviation of 6.0, Standard Deviation of 11.85, Variance of 140.46, Downside Variance of 44.69 and Semi Variance of 36.03
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Applied Blockchain. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Applied Blockchain is not overpriced, please confirm all Applied Blockchain fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Applied Blockchain has a number of shares shorted of 39.29 M, we suggest you to validate Applied Blockchain market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Applied Blockchain Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Applied Blockchain is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Applied Blockchain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Applied Blockchain currently holds 427.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Applied Blockchain has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Applied Blockchain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 165.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (149.27 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (957 K).
About 64.0% of Applied Blockchain shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Applied Digital Corp Shares Gap Down to 10.21 on Nov 26

Applied Blockchain Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Applied Blockchain's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Applied Blockchain's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Applied Blockchain daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Applied Blockchain price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Applied Blockchain returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Applied Blockchain.
Mean Return
1.66
Value At Risk
-8.85
Potential Upside
11.30
Standard Deviation
11.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Applied Blockchain historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Applied Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Plustick Management Llc2024-09-30
M
Ing Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
1.9 M
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-06-30
1.9 M
Pertento Partners Llp2024-09-30
1.7 M
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
1.7 M
B. Riley Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.6 M
Think Investments Lp2024-09-30
1.6 M
Findell Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Cowbird Capital Lp2024-06-30
1.4 M
Hood River Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
13.7 M
Clearfield Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
12.1 M
Note, although Applied Blockchain's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Applied Blockchain Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Applied Blockchain or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Applied Blockchain's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Applied stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.83
σ
Overall volatility
11.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Applied Blockchain Volatility Alert

Applied Blockchain is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Applied Blockchain's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Applied Blockchain's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Applied Blockchain Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Applied Blockchain's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Applied Blockchain's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Applied Blockchain and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Applied Blockchain or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Applied Blockchain's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applied Blockchain by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Applied Blockchain to competition
FundamentalsApplied BlockchainPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.67-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0883-0.14
Profit Margin(0.75) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.24) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.41 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding211.25 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders19.72 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions63.89 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted39.29 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(0.03) X28.72 X
Price To Book8.44 X9.51 X
Price To Sales10.74 X11.42 X
Revenue165.57 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(957 K)27.38 B
EBITDA(43.38 M)3.9 B
Net Income(149.27 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents40.83 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt427.81 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.28 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.87 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.54 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations13.79 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.92 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.23) X3.12 X
Target Price11.14
Number Of Employees15018.84 K
Beta4.52-0.15
Market Capitalization2.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset762.87 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(249.99 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(355.27 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.68 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Michael Maniscalco of 12500 shares of Applied Blockchain subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Applied Blockchain Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Applied . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Applied Blockchain Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Applied Blockchain? Buying financial instruments such as Applied Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Applied Blockchain in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Momentum Thematic Idea Now

Momentum
Momentum Theme
Large corporations operating in software, education, financial and car manufacturing industries. The Momentum theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Momentum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Applied Blockchain is a strong investment it is important to analyze Applied Blockchain's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Applied Blockchain's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Applied Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Applied Blockchain Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Applied Stock refer to our How to Trade Applied Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Blockchain. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied Blockchain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.23)
Revenue Per Share
1.505
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.671
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(0.67)
The market value of Applied Blockchain is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Blockchain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Blockchain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied Blockchain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Blockchain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied Blockchain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Applied Blockchain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied Blockchain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.