Aqua Metals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AQMS Stock  USD 2.39  0.09  3.91%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aqua Metals is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aqua Metals given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aqua Metals. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aqua Metals, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aqua Metals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Aqua Stock please use our How to Invest in Aqua Metals guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aqua and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aqua Metals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Aqua Metals Buy or Sell Advice

The Aqua recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aqua Metals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aqua Metals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aqua Metals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aqua MetalsBuy Aqua Metals
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aqua Metals has a Mean Deviation of 4.83, Standard Deviation of 7.21 and Variance of 52.0
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aqua Metals. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aqua Metals is not overpriced, please confirm all Aqua Metals fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Please also double-check Aqua Metals price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Aqua Metals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aqua Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aqua Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aqua Metals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 25 K. Net Loss for the year was (23.94 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.96 M).
Aqua Metals currently holds about 6.42 M in cash with (3.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Aqua Metals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aqua Metals 5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate 28.10 percent - GuruFocus.com

Aqua Metals Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aqua Metals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aqua Metals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aqua Metals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aqua Metals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aqua Metals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aqua Metals.
Mean Return
-0.84
Value At Risk
-8.94
Potential Upside
14.24
Standard Deviation
7.21
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aqua Metals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aqua Stock Institutional Investors

The Aqua Metals' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Aqua Metals' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Creative Planning Inc2024-06-30
71 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
59.7 K
Dorchester Wealth Management Co2024-09-30
53.4 K
Lpl Financial Corp2024-06-30
53.2 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
46.9 K
Hightower Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
45.3 K
Cetera Investment Advisers2024-06-30
43.2 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
41 K
Merit Financial Group, Llc2024-09-30
36 K
Baird Financial Group, Inc.2024-06-30
4.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
4.2 M
Note, although Aqua Metals' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aqua Metals Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(492K)166K822K(155K)(651K)(618.5K)
Change In Cash(13.3M)(1.0M)1.6M(1.1M)9.4M9.9M
Net Borrowings(6.9M)(322K)553K5.9M5.3M5.6M
Free Cash Flow(38.3M)(14.4M)(10.0M)(14.9M)(13.1M)(13.7M)
Depreciation4.1M2.4M1.3M1.1M1.3M1.9M
Other Non Cash Items7.7M1.2M371K956K5.4M5.7M
Capital Expenditures13.1M3.4M2.4M4.8M9.9M6.5M
Net Income(44.8M)(25.8M)(18.2M)(15.4M)(23.9M)(25.1M)
End Period Cash Flow7.6M6.5M8.1M7.1M16.5M11.5M
Change To Netincome10.3M15.4M2.8M2.3M2.6M2.5M
Investments(10.6M)6.6M(232K)(500K)(8.0M)(8.4M)
Change Receivables157K481K212K120K138K144.9K

Aqua Metals Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aqua Metals or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aqua Metals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aqua stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.09
σ
Overall volatility
7.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Aqua Metals Volatility Alert

Aqua Metals is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aqua Metals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aqua Metals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aqua Metals Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aqua Metals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aqua Metals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aqua Metals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aqua Metals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aqua Metals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aqua Metals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aqua Metals to competition
FundamentalsAqua MetalsPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.29-0.31
Return On Asset-0.5-0.14
Operating Margin(888.76) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation17.25 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding7.13 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders8.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions15.81 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted265.6 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(3.23) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales656.12 X11.42 X
Revenue25 K9.43 B
Gross Profit(3.96 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(22.05 M)3.9 B
Net Income(23.94 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.42 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.08 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.23 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(3.19 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio5.28 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.65) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.26) X4.89 X
Target Price30.0
Number Of Employees5318.84 K
Beta1.02-0.15
Market Capitalization16.4 M19.03 B
Total Asset33.6 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(223.22 M)9.33 B
Working Capital13.69 M1.48 B
Current Asset31.95 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Zhang Peifang of 85201 shares of Aqua Metals subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aqua Metals Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aqua . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aqua Metals Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aqua Metals? Buying financial instruments such as Aqua Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aqua Metals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for Aqua Stock Analysis

When running Aqua Metals' price analysis, check to measure Aqua Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aqua Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Aqua Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aqua Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aqua Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aqua Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.