Aurora Innovation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AUR Stock  USD 6.49  0.44  7.27%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aurora Innovation is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aurora Innovation given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aurora Innovation. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aurora Innovation, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aurora Innovation Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Aurora Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aurora Innovation guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aurora and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aurora Innovation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Aurora Innovation Buy or Sell Advice

The Aurora recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aurora Innovation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aurora Innovation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aurora Innovation's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aurora InnovationBuy Aurora Innovation
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aurora Innovation has a Mean Deviation of 4.86, Semi Deviation of 5.24, Standard Deviation of 6.93, Variance of 48.09, Downside Variance of 31.86 and Semi Variance of 27.46
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aurora Innovation. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aurora Innovation is not overpriced, please confirm all Aurora Innovation fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Aurora Innovation has a price to book of 5.53 X, we suggest you to validate Aurora Innovation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aurora Innovation Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aurora Innovation is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aurora Innovation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Reported Net Loss for the year was (796 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 68 M.
Aurora Innovation has about 1.38 B in cash with (598 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.2.
Aurora Innovation has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Aurora Innovation Coverage Initiated at Wolfe Research

Aurora Innovation Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aurora Innovation's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aurora Innovation's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aurora Innovation daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aurora Innovation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aurora Innovation returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aurora Innovation.
Mean Return
0.89
Value At Risk
-7.25
Potential Upside
11.73
Standard Deviation
6.93
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aurora Innovation historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aurora Stock Institutional Investors

The Aurora Innovation's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Aurora Innovation's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Durable Capital Partners Lp2024-09-30
11.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
11.5 M
Allen Operations Llc2024-09-30
10.4 M
Primecap Management Company2024-09-30
10.2 M
Foxhaven Asset Management, Lp2024-09-30
9.5 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
8.4 M
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board2024-09-30
8.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
8.2 M
Greylock 15 Gp Llc2024-09-30
7.8 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-09-30
226.6 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
166.6 M
Note, although Aurora Innovation's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aurora Innovation Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aurora Innovation or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aurora Innovation's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aurora stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.15
σ
Overall volatility
6.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Aurora Innovation Volatility Alert

Aurora Innovation is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aurora Innovation's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aurora Innovation's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aurora Innovation Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aurora Innovation's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aurora Innovation's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aurora Innovation and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aurora Innovation or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aurora Innovation's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurora Innovation by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aurora Innovation to competition
FundamentalsAurora InnovationPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.36-0.31
Return On Asset-0.21-0.14
Current Valuation10.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.35 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders25.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions68.38 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted78.35 M4.71 M
Price To Book5.53 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1,900 X11.42 X
Gross Profit68 M27.38 B
EBITDA(748 M)3.9 B
Net Income(796 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.38 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.20 X5.01 X
Total Debt122 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.06 %48.70 %
Current Ratio21.03 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.18 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(598 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio7.71 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.47) X3.12 X
Target Price4.42
Number Of Employees1.8 K18.84 K
Beta2.84-0.15
Market Capitalization11.15 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.61 B)9.33 B
Working Capital1.11 B1.48 B
Net Asset2.23 B
Note: Disposition of 22352 shares by Hoffman Reid of Aurora Innovation at 5.0421 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aurora Innovation Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aurora . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aurora Innovation Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aurora Innovation? Buying financial instruments such as Aurora Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Aurora Stock Analysis

When running Aurora Innovation's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Innovation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Innovation is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Innovation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Innovation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Innovation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Innovation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.