Exp World Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EXPI Stock  USD 13.85  0.23  1.63%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding eXp World Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of EXp World's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out EXp World Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as EXp and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards eXp World Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute EXp World Buy or Sell Advice

The EXp recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on eXp World Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in eXp World Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute EXp World's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell EXp WorldBuy EXp World
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon eXp World Holdings has a Mean Deviation of 2.16, Semi Deviation of 2.15, Standard Deviation of 3.02, Variance of 9.11, Downside Variance of 6.06 and Semi Variance of 4.64
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on eXp World Holdings and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure EXp World is not overpriced, please confirm all eXp World Holdings fundamentals, including its book value per share, retained earnings, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that eXp World Holdings has a price to earning of 56.90 X, we urge you to verify eXp World Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

EXp World Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

eXp World Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 366.9 M.
eXp World Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Exp World Holdings chief accounting officer Cheng Jian sells 258,879 in stock

EXp World Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of EXp World's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of EXp World's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of EXp World daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use eXp World Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of EXp World returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for EXp World.
Mean Return
0.21
Value At Risk
-4.28
Potential Upside
6.04
Standard Deviation
3.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of EXp World historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

EXp Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
779.8 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
710.4 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
664.2 K
Integrated Advisors Network Llc2024-09-30
564.9 K
Tudor Investment Corp Et Al2024-09-30
511.9 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
477.3 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
445 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
425.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
12 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
12 M
Note, although EXp World's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

EXp World Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash24.0M80.9M48.0M(16.5M)11.5M12.5M
Free Cash Flow50.0M113.2M233.5M198.5M201.2M211.2M
Other Non Cash Items139.7K157K601K3.8M9.4M5.1M
Capital Expenditures5.1M6.4M13.4M12.1M8.0M8.4M
Net Income(9.6M)31.0M81.2M15.4M(9.0M)(8.5M)
End Period Cash Flow47.1M127.9M175.9M159.4M170.9M179.4M
Depreciation2.4M4.0M6.2M9.8M10.9M11.4M
Change Receivables(10.5M)(10.8M)(50.2M)(56.9M)(51.2M)(48.6M)
Change To Netincome5.1M8.8M13.6M197.5M227.1M238.5M
Investments(6.7M)(17.0M)(3M)(22.5M)(14.9M)(14.1M)

EXp World Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to EXp World or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that EXp World's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a EXp stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
3.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

EXp World Volatility Alert

eXp World Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure EXp World's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact EXp World's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

EXp World Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing EXp World's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze EXp World's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between EXp World and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as EXp World or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of EXp World's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EXp World by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare EXp World to competition
FundamentalsEXp WorldPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0032-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.02 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding153.55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders49.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.42 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted20.47 M4.71 M
Price To Earning56.90 X28.72 X
Price To Book10.07 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.48 X11.42 X
Revenue4.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit366.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA3.63 M3.9 B
Net Income(8.97 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents134.9 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.89 X5.01 X
Total Debt10 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.38 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations209.13 M971.22 M
Short Ratio25.21 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.22) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth6.14 X4.89 X
Target Price15.75
Number Of Employees2.11 K18.84 K
Beta2.31-0.15
Market Capitalization2.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset385.67 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(16.77 M)9.33 B
Working Capital124.83 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 50000 shares by Glenn Sanford of EXp World at 12.716 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

EXp World Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as EXp . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About EXp World Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell eXp World Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as EXp Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether eXp World Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of EXp World's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Exp World Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Exp World Holdings Stock:
Check out EXp World Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EXp World. If investors know EXp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EXp World listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.398
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
(0.22)
Revenue Per Share
28.982
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.015
The market value of eXp World Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EXp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EXp World's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EXp World's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EXp World's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EXp World's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EXp World's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EXp World is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EXp World's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.