Hillman Solutions Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HLMN Stock  USD 11.40  0.13  1.15%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hillman Solutions Corp is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Hillman Solutions' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Hillman Solutions Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hillman and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hillman Solutions Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Hillman Solutions Buy or Sell Advice

The Hillman recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hillman Solutions Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hillman Solutions Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hillman Solutions' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hillman SolutionsBuy Hillman Solutions
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Hillman Solutions Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1354, Jensen Alpha of 0.1161, Total Risk Alpha of (0), Sortino Ratio of 0.0993 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2185
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Hillman Solutions and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Hillman Solutions Corp is not overpriced, please check out all Hillman Solutions fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Hillman Solutions Corp has a number of shares shorted of 2.78 M, we strongly advise you to confirm Hillman Solutions Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Hillman Solutions Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.48 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 639.78 M.
Hillman Solutions has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Hillman Solutions Corp Receives 13.60 Consensus PT from Brokerages

Hillman Solutions Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hillman Solutions' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hillman Solutions' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hillman Solutions daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hillman Solutions Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hillman Solutions returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hillman Solutions.
Mean Return
0.29
Value At Risk
-2.21
Potential Upside
3.25
Standard Deviation
1.70
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hillman Solutions historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hillman Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Hillman Solutions, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hillman Solutions Corp back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
4.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
4.8 M
State Street Corp2024-06-30
4.2 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
4.1 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
3.7 M
Riverbridge Partners Llc2024-09-30
3.4 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
3.4 M
Wcm Investment Management2024-09-30
3.3 M
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
19.4 M
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
14.8 M
Note, although Hillman Solutions' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hillman Solutions Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(3.2M)(67.1M)(137.8M)38.8M103.7M108.8M
Change In Cash(8.3M)1.5M(6.9M)16.5M7.5M7.8M
Depreciation124.6M126.9M120.7M120.0M121.6M106.8M
Capital Expenditures57.8M45.3M51.6M69.6M65.8M56.8M
Net Income(85.5M)(24.5M)(38.3M)(16.4M)(9.6M)(10.1M)
End Period Cash Flow20.0M21.5M14.6M31.1M38.6M24.2M
Net Borrowings(6.5M)(166.8K)(151.7M)(33.1M)(29.8M)(28.3M)
Change To Netincome(10.7M)27.7M(33.0M)11.5M13.2M13.9M

Hillman Solutions Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hillman Solutions or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hillman Solutions' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hillman stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Hillman Solutions Volatility Alert

Hillman Solutions Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.34 and kurtosis of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hillman Solutions' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hillman Solutions' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hillman Solutions Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hillman Solutions' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hillman Solutions' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hillman Solutions and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hillman Solutions or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hillman Solutions' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hillman Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hillman Solutions to competition
FundamentalsHillman SolutionsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0072-0.31
Return On Asset0.0239-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.02 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding196.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.78 M4.71 M
Price To Earning84.56 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.90 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.52 X11.42 X
Revenue1.48 B9.43 B
Gross Profit639.78 M27.38 B
EBITDA198.18 M3.9 B
Net Income(9.59 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents17.72 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.09 X5.01 X
Total Debt836.06 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.87 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations238.03 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.42 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.04 X3.12 X
Target Price13.28
Number Of Employees3.8 K18.84 K
Beta1.65-0.15
Market Capitalization2.24 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.33 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(236.21 M)9.33 B
Working Capital324.86 M1.48 B
Net Asset2.33 B
Note: Disposition of 72523 shares by Scott Ride of Hillman Solutions at 10.665 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Hillman Solutions Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hillman . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hillman Solutions Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hillman Solutions Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Hillman Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hillman Solutions in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Munis Funds
Munis Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by states, cities, and towns as well as other public entities. The Munis Funds theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Munis Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Hillman Solutions Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hillman Solutions' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hillman Solutions Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hillman Solutions Corp Stock:
Check out Hillman Solutions Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hillman Solutions. If investors know Hillman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hillman Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.459
Earnings Share
0.04
Revenue Per Share
7.517
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0239
The market value of Hillman Solutions Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hillman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hillman Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hillman Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hillman Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hillman Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hillman Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hillman Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hillman Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.