Arca Gold Bugs Index Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HUI Index   294.84  2.95  0.99%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ARCA Gold BUGS is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides ARCA Gold buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HUI positions. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any index could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Also, note that the market value of any index could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute ARCA Gold Buy or Sell Advice

The ARCA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ARCA Gold BUGS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ARCA Gold BUGS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ARCA Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ARCA GoldBuy ARCA Gold
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Ignores market trendsDetails
For the selected time horizon ARCA Gold BUGS has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) and Total Risk Alpha of (0.36)

ARCA Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ARCA Gold BUGS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ARCA Gold Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ARCA Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ARCA Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ARCA Gold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ARCA Gold BUGS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ARCA Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ARCA Gold.
Mean Return
-0.14
Value At Risk
-3.17
Potential Upside
3.45
Standard Deviation
2.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ARCA Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ARCA Gold Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ARCA Gold or ARCA sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ARCA Gold's price will be affected by overall index market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ARCA index's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

ARCA Gold Volatility Alert

ARCA Gold BUGS exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.03 and kurtosis of 0.56. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ARCA Gold's index risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ARCA Gold's index price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ARCA Gold Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ARCA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ARCA Gold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Services Thematic Idea Now

Services
Services Theme
Companies involved in delivering services to business or consumers across different industries and sectors. The Services theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Services Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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