Kratos Defense Security Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| KTOS Stock | USD 26.95 0.29 1.06% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Kratos Defense Security is 'Not Rated'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kratos Defense Security given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Kratos Defense. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kratos Defense Security, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Kratos Defense Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Kratos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Kratos Defense Security. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
Kratos |
Execute Kratos Defense Buy or Sell Advice
The Kratos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kratos Defense Security. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kratos Defense Security or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kratos Defense's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Kratos Defense Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 226 M. | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Kratos Defense Security Solutions, Inc.s PS Is On The Mark |
Kratos Defense Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Kratos Defense's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kratos Defense's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kratos Defense daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kratos Defense Security price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kratos Defense returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kratos Defense.
| Mean Return | 0.32 | Value At Risk | -3.43 | Potential Upside | 4.37 | Standard Deviation | 2.61 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kratos Defense historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Kratos Stock Institutional Investors
The Kratos Defense's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Kratos Defense's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 2.8 M | Westwood Holdings Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.7 M | American Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.7 M | Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp | 2024-06-30 | 2.6 M | Nikko Asset Management Americas Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.6 M | Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Rovida Advisors Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 14 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 12.9 M |
Kratos Defense Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (10.4M) | 208.9M | (32.1M) | (268.1M) | (8.5M) | (8.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.7M | 10.7M | (15.7M) | (71.1M) | 12.8M | 13.4M | |
| Depreciation | 35.1M | 34M | 34.7M | 40.9M | 44.7M | 24.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 200K | 3.8M | (1.6M) | 18.3M | 12.8M | 14.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 26.3M | 35.9M | 46.5M | 45.4M | 52.4M | 55.0M | |
| Net Income | 12.6M | 79.4M | (1.6M) | (33.2M) | (8.9M) | (9.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 172.6M | 381.5M | 349.4M | 81.3M | 72.8M | 88.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 7M | (55.3M) | 23.2M | 36.1M | 32.5M | 34.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | 2M | (4.6M) | (5.3M) | (23.8M) | (29.6M) | (28.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | (11.6M) | (3.7M) | 2.6M | (4.9M) | (4.4M) | (4.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (500K) | 4.5M | (6.1M) | (55.6M) | (63.9M) | (67.1M) | |
| Investments | (43.7M) | (87.3M) | (52.1M) | (177.4M) | (35M) | (36.8M) |
Kratos Defense Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kratos Defense or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kratos Defense's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kratos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Kratos Defense Volatility Alert
Kratos Defense Security currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kratos Defense's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kratos Defense's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Kratos Defense Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Kratos Defense's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kratos Defense's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kratos Defense and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kratos Defense or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kratos Defense's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kratos Defense by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Kratos Defense to competition |
| Fundamentals | Kratos Defense | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0154 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0137 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.99 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 151.07 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.81 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 88.34 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.93 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.03 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.04 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 226 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 79.5 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (8.9 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 142.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.13 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 321.4 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.42 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.74 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.89 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 65.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 34.12 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 27.18 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.9 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.02 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.07 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.63 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (680.2 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 301.7 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 6000 shares by Deanna Lund of Kratos Defense at 22.4078 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Kratos Defense Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kratos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Kratos Defense Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Kratos Defense Security? Buying financial instruments such as Kratos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Kratos Stock Analysis
When running Kratos Defense's price analysis, check to measure Kratos Defense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kratos Defense is operating at the current time. Most of Kratos Defense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kratos Defense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kratos Defense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kratos Defense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.