Monarch Casino Resort Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MCRI Stock | USD 83.99 1.70 1.98% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Monarch Casino Resort is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Monarch Casino's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Monarch Casino Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Monarch and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Monarch Casino Resort. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Monarch |
Execute Monarch Casino Buy or Sell Advice
The Monarch recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Monarch Casino Resort. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Monarch Casino Resort or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Monarch Casino's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Monarch Casino Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Monarch Casino is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Monarch Casino Resort currently holds 20.42 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Monarch Casino Resort has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Monarch Casino's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Monarch Casino has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of Monarch Casino shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Monarch Casino Resort Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Beats Expectations |
Monarch Casino Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Monarch Casino's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Monarch Casino's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Monarch Casino daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Monarch Casino Resort price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Monarch Casino returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Monarch Casino.
| Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -1.82 | Potential Upside | 1.87 | Standard Deviation | 1.35 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Monarch Casino historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Monarch Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2024-09-30 | 223.3 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 211.3 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 178.7 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 174.8 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 134.1 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 128.4 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 128.4 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 125.6 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 123 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.2 M | Davenport & Company Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M |
Monarch Casino Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 30.1M | (32.2M) | 5.2M | 5.3M | 4.6M | 4.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (62.1M) | (57.2M) | 81.2M | 100.3M | 124.0M | 130.2M | |
| Depreciation | 14.9M | 17.3M | 38.4M | 43.4M | 47.3M | 49.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 727K | 1.1M | 1.4M | 1.6M | 699K | 734.0K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 125.4M | 88.7M | 46.9M | 39.5M | 49.0M | 30.8M | |
| Net Income | 31.8M | 23.7M | 68.5M | 87.5M | 82.4M | 86.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 60.5M | 28.3M | 33.5M | 38.8M | 43.4M | 45.5M | |
| Change To Inventory | (3.0M) | (1.1M) | 664K | (399K) | (56K) | (58.8K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 9.5M | 19.9M | 11.0M | 8.7M | 10.0M | 5.9M | |
| Change Receivables | 92K | 1.1M | 1.6M | (5.4M) | (4.9M) | (4.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 101.8M | (16.6M) | (92.5M) | (83M) | (74.7M) | (71.0M) | |
| Investments | (134.9M) | (46.4M) | (37.8M) | (48.0M) | (51.2M) | (53.8M) |
Monarch Casino Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Monarch Casino or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Monarch Casino's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Monarch stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Monarch Casino Volatility Alert
Monarch Casino Resort has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.5 and kurtosis of 6.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Monarch Casino's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Monarch Casino's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Monarch Casino Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Monarch Casino's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Monarch Casino's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Monarch Casino and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Monarch Casino or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Monarch Casino's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monarch Casino by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Monarch Casino to competition |
| Fundamentals | Monarch Casino | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.25 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.53 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 18.39 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 31.28 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 64.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 196.38 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 19.20 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.01 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.99 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 501.48 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 318.09 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 157.45 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 82.45 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 33.14 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.75 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 20.42 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.08 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.58 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 27.94 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 173.05 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.30 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.53 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.89 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 77.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.9 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.76 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.54 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 680.87 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 467.85 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (48.4 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 6100 shares by Landau Yvette of Monarch Casino at 8.92 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Monarch Casino Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Monarch . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Monarch Casino Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Monarch Casino Resort? Buying financial instruments such as Monarch Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Monarch Casino Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monarch Casino. If investors know Monarch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Monarch Casino listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.195 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 4.53 | Revenue Per Share 27.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of Monarch Casino Resort is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Monarch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Monarch Casino's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Monarch Casino's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Monarch Casino's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Monarch Casino's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Monarch Casino's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Monarch Casino is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Monarch Casino's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.