Mercialys (France) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MERY Stock  EUR 10.48  0.04  0.38%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Mercialys SA is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Mercialys buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MERY positions.
  
Check out Mercialys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mercialys and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mercialys SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Mercialys Buy or Sell Advice

The Mercialys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mercialys SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mercialys SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mercialys' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MercialysBuy Mercialys
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Mercialys SA has a Mean Deviation of 1.1, Standard Deviation of 1.43 and Variance of 2.04
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Mercialys SA and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Mercialys SA is not overpriced, please verify all Mercialys SA fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, and the relationship between the price to book and revenue .

Mercialys Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mercialys SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mercialys SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Mercialys SA has accumulated 1.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 195.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mercialys SA has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mercialys until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mercialys' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mercialys SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mercialys to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mercialys' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Mercialys Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mercialys' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mercialys' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mercialys daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mercialys SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mercialys returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mercialys.
Mean Return
-0.14
Value At Risk
-3.02
Potential Upside
1.64
Standard Deviation
1.43
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mercialys historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mercialys Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mercialys or Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mercialys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mercialys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Mercialys Volatility Alert

Mercialys SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.67 and kurtosis of 0.71. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mercialys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mercialys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mercialys Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mercialys' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mercialys' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mercialys and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mercialys or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mercialys' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercialys by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mercialys to competition
FundamentalsMercialysPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0553-0.31
Return On Asset0.0281-0.14
Profit Margin0.25 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.61 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding93.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.34 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions44.89 %39.21 %
Price To Earning13.31 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.34 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.20 X11.42 X
Revenue211.16 M9.43 B
Gross Profit165.93 M27.38 B
EBITDA122.85 M3.9 B
Net Income51.81 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents75.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.25 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity195.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.53 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.73 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations150.12 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.46 X3.12 X
Target Price11.4
Number Of Employees2418.84 K
Beta1.59-0.15
Market Capitalization989.04 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.29 B29.47 B
Working Capital(120 M)1.48 B
Current Asset119 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities239 M7.9 B
Annual Yield0.09 %
Five Year Return6.75 %

Mercialys Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mercialys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mercialys Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mercialys SA? Buying financial instruments such as Mercialys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Mercialys Stock

Mercialys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mercialys Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mercialys with respect to the benefits of owning Mercialys security.