Nuvation Bio Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NUVB Stock | USD 2.89 0.09 3.21% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nuvation Bio is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Nuvation Bio buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NUVB positions.
Check out Nuvation Bio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Nuvation Stock refer to our How to Trade Nuvation Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nuvation and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Nuvation Bio. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
Nuvation |
Execute Nuvation Bio Buy or Sell Advice
The Nuvation recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nuvation Bio. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nuvation Bio or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nuvation Bio's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Excited | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Nuvation Bio Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Nuvation Bio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Nuvation Bio has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (75.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Nuvation Bio currently holds about 703.8 M in cash with (68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by David Hanley of 500000 shares of Nuvation Bio at 1.94 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Nuvation Bio Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Nuvation Bio's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nuvation Bio's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nuvation Bio daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nuvation Bio price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nuvation Bio returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nuvation Bio.
| Mean Return | 0.01 | Value At Risk | -8.36 | Potential Upside | 9.48 | Standard Deviation | 4.76 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nuvation Bio historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Nuvation Bio Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 3.3M | 26.3M | 102.7M | (31.3M) | (58.5M) | (55.5M) | |
| Net Income | (33.6M) | (41.7M) | (86.8M) | (104.2M) | (75.8M) | (79.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.5M | 29.8M | 132.4M | 101.1M | 42.6M | 56.7M |
Nuvation Bio Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nuvation Bio or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nuvation Bio's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nuvation stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Nuvation Bio Volatility Alert
Nuvation Bio exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nuvation Bio's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nuvation Bio's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Nuvation Bio Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Nuvation Bio's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nuvation Bio's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nuvation Bio and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nuvation Bio or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nuvation Bio's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuvation Bio by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Nuvation Bio to competition |
| Fundamentals | Nuvation Bio | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.96 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.14 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (66.16) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 434.73 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 335.57 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 26.85 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 56.34 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 10.97 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 1.93 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 449.90 X | 11.42 X |
| EBITDA | (99.6 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (75.8 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 703.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.22 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.01 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 33.58 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.50 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (68 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.67 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.18) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 6.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 203 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.36 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 972.68 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 621.48 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (342.8 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 602.46 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 621.48 M |
Note: Disposition of 56361 shares by Junyuan Wang of Nuvation Bio at 2.89 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Nuvation Bio Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nuvation . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Nuvation Bio Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Nuvation Bio? Buying financial instruments such as Nuvation Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Nuvation Bio Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Nuvation Stock refer to our How to Trade Nuvation Stock guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nuvation Bio. If investors know Nuvation will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nuvation Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.18) | Revenue Per Share 0.009 | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (0.96) |
The market value of Nuvation Bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nuvation that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nuvation Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nuvation Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nuvation Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nuvation Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nuvation Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nuvation Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nuvation Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.