Pagerduty Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PD Stock  USD 21.24  0.23  1.09%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Pagerduty is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Pagerduty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PD positions.
  
Check out Pagerduty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Pagerduty Stock refer to our How to Trade Pagerduty Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pagerduty and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Pagerduty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Pagerduty Buy or Sell Advice

The Pagerduty recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pagerduty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pagerduty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pagerduty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PagerdutyBuy Pagerduty
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Pagerduty has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0595, Jensen Alpha of (0.11), Total Risk Alpha of (0.24), Sortino Ratio of 0.0081 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0748
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Pagerduty. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Pagerduty is not overpriced, please check all Pagerduty fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Pagerduty has a number of shares shorted of 10.45 M, we recommend you to check out Pagerduty market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Pagerduty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company generated the yearly revenue of 430.7 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (81.76 M) with gross profit of 300.88 M.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: PagerDuty, Inc. Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Pagerduty Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Pagerduty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pagerduty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pagerduty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pagerduty price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pagerduty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pagerduty.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-4.46
Potential Upside
3.71
Standard Deviation
2.30
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pagerduty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Pagerduty Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
2.3 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.2 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.2 M
Citigroup Inc2024-09-30
M
Nomura Holdings Inc2024-06-30
898.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
872 K
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-06-30
797.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
10.5 M
Ark Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
9.8 M
Note, although Pagerduty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Pagerduty Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(6.3M)215.1M10.6M(75.8M)92.6M97.3M
Free Cash Flow(5.3M)5.2M(12.8M)8.5M64.4M67.6M
Depreciation2.3M5.3M8.4M17.4M40.7M42.8M
Other Non Cash Items7.4M25.7M25.0M27M12.4M16.6M
Capital Expenditures5.2M4.8M6.8M8.5M7.5M5.9M
Net Income(50.3M)(68.9M)(107.5M)(129.2M)(81.8M)(85.8M)
End Period Cash Flow124.0M339.2M349.8M274.0M366.7M256.2M
Change To Netincome26.9M50.1M78.3M110.4M127.0M64.3M

Pagerduty Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pagerduty or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pagerduty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pagerduty stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.99
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Pagerduty Volatility Alert

Pagerduty currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of -0.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pagerduty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pagerduty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Pagerduty Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Pagerduty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pagerduty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pagerduty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pagerduty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pagerduty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pagerduty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Pagerduty to competition
FundamentalsPagerdutyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.31-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0611-0.14
Profit Margin(0.19) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.14) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.81 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding90.16 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.44 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions91.01 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted10.45 M4.71 M
Price To Book17.52 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.24 X11.42 X
Revenue430.7 M9.43 B
Gross Profit300.88 M27.38 B
EBITDA(52.8 M)3.9 B
Net Income(81.76 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents274.02 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.28 X5.01 X
Total Debt461.02 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.21 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.47 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.85 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations71.97 M971.22 M
Short Ratio15.43 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.81) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(6.67) X4.89 X
Target Price22.27
Number Of Employees1.18 K18.84 K
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization1.89 B19.03 B
Total Asset925.31 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(552.43 M)9.33 B
Working Capital421.54 M1.48 B
Net Asset925.31 M
Note: Disposition of 31250 shares by Jennifer Tejada of Pagerduty at 2.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Pagerduty Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pagerduty . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Pagerduty Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Pagerduty? Buying financial instruments such as Pagerduty Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Pagerduty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Investor Favorites Thematic Idea Now

Investor Favorites
Investor Favorites Theme
Macroaxis most traded equities with largest long positions over the last 2 years. The Investor Favorites theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investor Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Pagerduty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Pagerduty Stock refer to our How to Trade Pagerduty Stock guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pagerduty. If investors know Pagerduty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pagerduty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.81)
Revenue Per Share
4.813
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.077
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of Pagerduty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pagerduty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pagerduty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pagerduty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pagerduty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pagerduty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pagerduty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pagerduty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pagerduty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.