Red Cat Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| RCAT Stock | USD 9.27 0.91 10.89% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Red Cat Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Red Cat Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Red Cat. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Red Cat Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Red Cat Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Red and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Red Cat Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
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Execute Red Cat Buy or Sell Advice
The Red recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Red Cat Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Red Cat Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Red Cat's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Red Cat Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Red Cat Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Red Cat Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 925.51 K. | |
| Red Cat Holdings currently holds about 42.95 M in cash with (18.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Red Cat Holdings Promotes Geoffrey Hitchcock to Chief Revenue Officer |
Red Cat Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Red Cat's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Red Cat's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Red Cat daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Red Cat Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Red Cat returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Red Cat.
| Mean Return | 2.01 | Value At Risk | -8.57 | Potential Upside | 15.75 | Standard Deviation | 8.53 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Red Cat historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Red Stock Institutional Investors
The Red Cat's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Red Cat's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Citigroup Inc | 2024-09-30 | 99.5 K | Centiva Capital Lp | 2024-09-30 | 81.6 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 60.2 K | Diametric Capital, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 58.4 K | Appleseed Capital | 2024-09-30 | 54.5 K | Jane Street Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 50.7 K | United Capital Management Of Ks | 2024-09-30 | 42.5 K | Jefferies Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 36 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 35 K | Awm Investment Company Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.3 M |
Red Cat Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (553.5K) | (266.8K) | 40.7K | 3.8M | (824.5K) | 2.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (811.6K) | (1.4M) | (16.4M) | (31.6M) | (18.9M) | (17.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 12.6K | 154.7K | 36.8K | 264.8K | 966.1K | 1.4M | |
| Net Income | (2.6M) | (1.6M) | (13.2M) | (11.7M) | (27.1M) | (21.5M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 204K | 1.1M | (289.1K) | 38.6K | 2.6M | 2.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | 48.8K | (60.0K) | (2.2M) | (8.1M) | 913.3K | 959.0K | |
| Investments | (849.8K) | 46.3K | (48.4K) | (57.6M) | 29.6M | 13.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 473.9K | 10.5M | 250.4K | 38.6K | 44.4K | 42.2K |
Red Cat Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Red Cat or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Red Cat's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Red stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Red Cat Volatility Alert
Red Cat Holdings is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Red Cat's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Red Cat's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Red Cat Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Red Cat's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Red Cat's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Red Cat and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Red Cat or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Red Cat's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red Cat by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Red Cat to competition |
| Fundamentals | Red Cat | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.69 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.27 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.62) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (2.75) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 693.9 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 75.47 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 21.18 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 17.70 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.23 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 21.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 37.08 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 17.84 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 925.51 K | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (20.03 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (21.53 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 42.95 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.79 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.27 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 11.24 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.43 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (18.6 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.43 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.42) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 10.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 89 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.38 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 699.56 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 48.54 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (81.13 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 18.75 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 48.54 M |
Note: Disposition of 34478 shares by Leah Lunger of Red Cat at 3.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Red Cat Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Red . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Red Cat Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Red Cat Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Red Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Additional Tools for Red Stock Analysis
When running Red Cat's price analysis, check to measure Red Cat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red Cat is operating at the current time. Most of Red Cat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red Cat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red Cat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red Cat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.