Travelzoo Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TZOO Stock  USD 19.96  0.51  2.49%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Travelzoo is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Travelzoo's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Travelzoo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Travelzoo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Travelzoo guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Travelzoo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Travelzoo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Travelzoo Buy or Sell Advice

The Travelzoo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Travelzoo. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Travelzoo or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Travelzoo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TravelzooBuy Travelzoo
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Travelzoo has a Mean Deviation of 2.76, Semi Deviation of 2.43, Standard Deviation of 4.15, Variance of 17.22, Downside Variance of 8.92 and Semi Variance of 5.92
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Travelzoo and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Travelzoo is not overpriced, please validate all Travelzoo fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, current ratio, working capital, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Travelzoo has a price to earning of 24.67 X, we advise you to double-check Travelzoo market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Travelzoo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Travelzoo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Travelzoo currently holds 9.25 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.91, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Travelzoo has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Travelzoo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 45.0% of Travelzoo outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Travelzoo Rises .7 percent Since Q3 Earnings Time to Buy the Stock

Travelzoo Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Travelzoo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Travelzoo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Travelzoo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Travelzoo price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Travelzoo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Travelzoo.
Mean Return
0.87
Value At Risk
-4.06
Potential Upside
12.85
Standard Deviation
4.15
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Travelzoo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Travelzoo Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Travelzoo, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Travelzoo back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Eam Investors, Llc2024-09-30
60.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
48 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
44 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
42.6 K
Castleknight Management Lp2024-09-30
41.6 K
Citigroup Inc2024-09-30
38.6 K
Trexquant Investment Lp2024-06-30
34.9 K
Comprehensive Portfolio Management, Llc2024-09-30
34.5 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
30.4 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
602.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
365.1 K
Note, although Travelzoo's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Travelzoo Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures474K253K29K1.5M255K242.3K
Net Income4.1M(14.6M)1.2M6.6M11.9M12.5M
End Period Cash Flow20.8M64.4M45.0M19.4M16.4M31.1M
Change To Netincome2.5M7.4M533K(1.5M)(1.7M)(1.6M)
Change To Inventory(673K)(159K)(977K)42.5M48.9M51.4M
Change In Cash1.4M43.7M(19.4M)(25.6M)(3.0M)(2.8M)
Free Cash Flow10.9M46.6M(8.1M)(24.6M)10.4M8.0M
Depreciation1.3M2.3M1.8M2.2M1.9M1.7M
Other Non Cash Items1.2M5.7M(4.0M)(4.1M)(506K)(480.7K)
Change Receivables3.1M(1.5M)(728K)6.2M7.1M7.5M
Investments(673K)2.2M133K(1.3M)(330K)(346.5K)

Travelzoo Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Travelzoo or Interactive Media & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Travelzoo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Travelzoo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
4.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Travelzoo Volatility Alert

Travelzoo currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.18 and Jensen Alpha of 0.78. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Travelzoo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Travelzoo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Travelzoo Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Travelzoo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Travelzoo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Travelzoo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Travelzoo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Travelzoo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Travelzoo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Travelzoo to competition
FundamentalsTravelzooPeer Average
Return On Equity2.96-0.31
Return On Asset0.21-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation233.04 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding11.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders44.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions30.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted188.1 K4.71 M
Price To Earning24.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book179.26 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.86 X11.42 X
Revenue84.48 M9.43 B
Gross Profit60.6 M27.38 B
EBITDA17.46 M3.9 B
Net Income11.91 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents19.49 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.56 X5.01 X
Total Debt9.25 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.91 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.18) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations10.68 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.02 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.14 X4.89 X
Target Price25.0
Number Of Employees22318.84 K
Beta1.69-0.15
Market Capitalization241.64 M19.03 B
Total Asset55.38 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings19.51 M9.33 B
Working Capital(3.42 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 15534 shares by Holger Bartel of Travelzoo at 10.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Travelzoo Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Travelzoo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Travelzoo Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Travelzoo? Buying financial instruments such as Travelzoo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Travelzoo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Energy Funds
Energy Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in energy sector, natural resources, and ecology. The Energy Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Energy Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Travelzoo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Travelzoo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Travelzoo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Travelzoo Stock:
Check out Travelzoo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Travelzoo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Travelzoo guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Travelzoo. If investors know Travelzoo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Travelzoo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.635
Earnings Share
1.02
Revenue Per Share
6.439
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.2131
The market value of Travelzoo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Travelzoo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Travelzoo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Travelzoo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Travelzoo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Travelzoo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Travelzoo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Travelzoo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Travelzoo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.