Universe Pharmaceuticals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UPC Stock  USD 1.78  0.06  3.49%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Universe Pharmaceuticals is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Universe Pharmaceuticals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UPC positions.
  
Check out Universe Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Universe Stock refer to our How to Trade Universe Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Universe and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Universe Pharmaceuticals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Universe Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice

The Universe recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Universe Pharmaceuticals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Universe Pharmaceuticals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Universe Pharmaceuticals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Universe PharmaceuticalsBuy Universe Pharmaceuticals
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Abnormally volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Universe Pharmaceuticals has a Mean Deviation of 7.59, Standard Deviation of 12.69 and Variance of 160.98
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Universe Pharmaceuticals. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Universe Pharmaceuticals is not overpriced, please validate all Universe Pharmaceuticals fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Please also confirm Universe Pharmaceuticals number of shares shorted to double-check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Universe Pharmaceuticals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Universe Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Universe Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Universe Pharmaceuticals may become a speculative penny stock
Universe Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 32.31 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (6.16 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 21.89 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Universe Pharmaceuticals stock hits 52-week low at 1.78 By Investing.com - Investing.com Australia

Universe Pharmaceuticals Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Universe Pharmaceuticals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Universe Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Universe Pharmaceuticals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Universe Pharmaceuticals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Universe Pharmaceuticals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Universe Pharmaceuticals.
Mean Return
-3.73
Value At Risk
-16.26
Potential Upside
12.27
Standard Deviation
12.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Universe Pharmaceuticals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Universe Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
39.3 K
Quadrature Capital Llp2024-09-30
24.9 K
Xtx Topco Ltd2024-09-30
14.8 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
5.2 K
Note, although Universe Pharmaceuticals' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Universe Pharmaceuticals Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory888.6K(451.6K)16.6K(1.2M)(1.1M)(1.0M)
Investments(51.8K)(13.5M)(3.9M)(44.2K)(39.8K)(41.7K)
Change In Cash6.9M(2.0M)(2.4M)(426.2K)(383.6K)(402.8K)
Net Borrowings1.1K911.2K624.4K3.3M3.8M4.0M
Free Cash Flow6.1M(15.6M)(1.4M)1.1M968.3K1.0M
Depreciation410.1K446.9K533.9K508.8K585.1K508.0K
Other Non Cash Items22.7K(468.2K)906.6K(526.9K)(474.2K)(450.5K)
Capital Expenditures51.8K13.5M93.7K44.2K50.8K48.3K
Net Income7.6M11.3M(8.7M)(6.2M)(5.5M)(5.3M)
End Period Cash Flow10.1M8.1M5.7M5.3M6.1M7.1M
Change To Netincome73.2K12.8K(1.1M)301.3K271.2K284.7K

Universe Pharmaceuticals Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universe Pharmaceuticals or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universe Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universe stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-3.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
12.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

Universe Pharmaceuticals Volatility Alert

Universe Pharmaceuticals is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universe Pharmaceuticals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universe Pharmaceuticals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Universe Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Universe Pharmaceuticals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Universe Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Universe Pharmaceuticals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Universe Pharmaceuticals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Universe Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universe Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Universe Pharmaceuticals to competition
FundamentalsUniverse PharmaceuticalsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.5-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0565-0.14
Profit Margin(0.69) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.14) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(2.07 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.58 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders8.79 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.86 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted37.22 K4.71 M
Price To Earning3.02 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.10 X11.42 X
Revenue32.31 M9.43 B
Gross Profit21.89 M27.38 B
EBITDA(3.22 M)3.9 B
Net Income(6.16 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents28.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.48 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.07 %48.70 %
Current Ratio5.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.12 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.01 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(76.35) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees22518.84 K
Beta1.54-0.15
Market Capitalization2.81 M19.03 B
Total Asset53.29 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings10.16 M9.33 B
Working Capital23.06 M1.48 B
Net Asset53.29 M
Note: Acquisition by White John V of 10050 shares of Universe Pharmaceuticals at 19.1667 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Universe Pharmaceuticals Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universe . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Universe Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Universe Pharmaceuticals? Buying financial instruments such as Universe Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Universe Pharmaceuticals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Defense Thematic Idea Now

Defense
Defense Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Defense theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Defense Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Universe Pharmaceuticals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Universe Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Universe Pharmaceuticals Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Universe Pharmaceuticals Stock:
Check out Universe Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Universe Stock refer to our How to Trade Universe Stock guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universe Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Universe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universe Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(76.35)
Revenue Per Share
7.351
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.30)
Return On Assets
(0.06)
The market value of Universe Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universe Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universe Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universe Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universe Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universe Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universe Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universe Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.