Vivendi SA (France) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VIV Stock  EUR 8.69  0.01  0.12%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Vivendi SA is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Vivendi SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VIV positions.
  
Check out Vivendi SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vivendi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vivendi SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Vivendi SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Vivendi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vivendi SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vivendi SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vivendi SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vivendi SABuy Vivendi SA
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Vivendi SA has a Mean Deviation of 0.9554, Standard Deviation of 1.29 and Variance of 1.67
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Vivendi SA. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Vivendi SA is not overpriced, please validate all Vivendi SA fundamentals, including its earnings per share, working capital, and the relationship between the debt to equity and beta .

Vivendi SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vivendi SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vivendi SA has accumulated 4.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 53.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Vivendi SA has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vivendi SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vivendi SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vivendi SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vivendi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vivendi SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 32.0% of Vivendi SA outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Vivendi SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vivendi SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vivendi SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vivendi SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vivendi SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vivendi SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vivendi SA.
Mean Return
-0.23
Value At Risk
-2.13
Potential Upside
2.31
Standard Deviation
1.29
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vivendi SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vivendi SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vivendi SA or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vivendi SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vivendi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Vivendi SA Volatility Alert

Vivendi SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.13 and kurtosis of 0.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vivendi SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vivendi SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vivendi SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vivendi SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vivendi SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vivendi SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vivendi SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vivendi SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vivendi SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vivendi SA to competition
FundamentalsVivendi SAPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0084-0.31
Return On Asset0.0105-0.14
Profit Margin2.46 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.02 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders32.36 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions28.12 %39.21 %
Price To Earning67.21 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.48 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.89 X11.42 X
Revenue9.57 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA25.79 B3.9 B
Net Income24.69 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.05 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.25 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity53.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.67 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.64 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.20) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.91 X4.89 X
Target Price12.3
Number Of Employees34.3 K18.84 K
Beta0.88-0.15
Market Capitalization10.03 B19.03 B
Total Asset33.37 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings7.41 B9.33 B
Working Capital2.56 B1.48 B
Current Asset9.86 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities7.3 B7.9 B

Vivendi SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vivendi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vivendi SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vivendi SA? Buying financial instruments such as Vivendi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Long Short Funds Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Vivendi Stock

Vivendi SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vivendi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vivendi with respect to the benefits of owning Vivendi SA security.