Carnival Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

CCL Stock  USD 25.14  0.20  0.79%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Carnival. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Carnival over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Carnival's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Carnival's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.6
Alpha
0.42
Risk
2.29
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Expected Return
0.71
Please note that although Carnival alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Carnival did 0.42  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Carnival stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Carnival has a beta of 1.60  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Carnival will likely underperform. The value of Book Value Per Share is estimated to slide to 4.66. The value of Tangible Book Value Per Share is expected to slide to 3.48.

Carnival Quarterly Cash And Equivalents

2.84 Billion

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Carnival Backtesting, Carnival Valuation, Carnival Correlation, Carnival Hype Analysis, Carnival Volatility, Carnival History and analyze Carnival Performance.
For more information on how to buy Carnival Stock please use our How to buy in Carnival Stock guide.

Carnival Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Carnival market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Carnival long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Carnival. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Carnival's performance over market.
α0.42   β1.60

Carnival expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Carnival's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Carnival performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Carnival Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Carnival stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carnival shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Carnival stock market price indicators, traders can identify Carnival position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Carnival Return and Market Media

The median price of Carnival for the period between Sat, Aug 31, 2024 and Fri, Nov 29, 2024 is 20.43 with a coefficient of variation of 14.96. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 3.05, arithmetic mean of 20.41, and mean deviation of 2.65. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Oaks Day Race 4 - Lexus Melbourne Cup Carnival
11/07/2024
2
Winter Blitz Indoor Carnival Thrill Show to Bring Festive Family Fun to Hall of Fame Village
11/14/2024
3
Carnival Stock Moves -0.2 percent What You Should Know
11/20/2024
4
Royal Caribbean and Carnival accused of taking advantage of passengers with gambling credits
11/21/2024
5
Goldman Sachs Carnival Corporation plc Is A Top Growth Investor Stock
11/22/2024
6
Not your parents Love Boat The buzzy features bringing new passengers to cruise ships
11/25/2024
7
Leadership Shuffle At Carnival For Princess, Holland America, Seabourn
11/26/2024
8
Brokers Suggest Investing in Carnival Read This Before Placing a Bet
11/27/2024

About Carnival Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Carnival or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Carnival has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio3.182.66
Dividend Yield0.040.042

Carnival Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Carnival's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Carnival's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Carnival's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Carnival. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Carnival's management manipulating its earnings.
25th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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24th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
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29th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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19th of December 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of November 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of November 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Align your risk with return expectations

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When determining whether Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carnival Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Carnival Backtesting, Carnival Valuation, Carnival Correlation, Carnival Hype Analysis, Carnival Volatility, Carnival History and analyze Carnival Performance.
For more information on how to buy Carnival Stock please use our How to buy in Carnival Stock guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Carnival technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Carnival technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Carnival trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...