Ford Motor Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

F Stock  USD 11.13  0.03  0.27%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Ford Motor. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Ford over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Ford's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Ford's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.48
Alpha
(0.15)
Risk
2.03
Sharpe Ratio
0.0315
Expected Return
0.0638
Please note that although Ford alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Ford did 0.15  worse than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Ford Motor stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Ford Motor has a beta of 1.48  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ford will likely underperform. At this time, Ford's Price Book Value Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Ford's current Price Fair Value is estimated to increase to 1.20, while Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is projected to decrease to 7.75.

Ford Quarterly Cash And Equivalents

26.43 Billion

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Ford Backtesting, Ford Valuation, Ford Correlation, Ford Hype Analysis, Ford Volatility, Ford History and analyze Ford Performance.

Ford Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Ford market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Ford long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Ford. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Ford's performance over market.
α-0.15   β1.48

Ford expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Ford's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Ford performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Ford Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Ford stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ford shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ford stock market price indicators, traders can identify Ford position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ford Return and Market Media

The median price of Ford for the period between Sun, Sep 1, 2024 and Sat, Nov 30, 2024 is 10.76 with a coefficient of variation of 2.95. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.32, arithmetic mean of 10.73, and mean deviation of 0.26. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Ford recalls 25K F-Series Super Duty pickups over tailgate camera fault
11/08/2024
2
VA looking for volunteer drivers, now
11/14/2024
3
A Super launch
11/19/2024
4
Ford to cut 4,000 European jobs amid economic and EV challenges
11/21/2024
5
Ford Motor Co Shares Up 3.75 percent on Nov 22
11/22/2024
6
Tesla Tops EPA Emissions Credit Race While Automakers Struggle With Record Deficits
11/25/2024
7
Trumps 25 percent Tariff on Mexico and Canada Hits General Motors Stock Hard
11/26/2024
8
Wells Fargo Trump tariffs would add 2.1K to the price of cars made by U.S. automakersand could cost Ford, Stellantis, and GM billions in profit
11/27/2024

About Ford Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Ford or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Ford Motor has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0048620.10.0867
Price To Sales Ratio0.610.280.17

Ford Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Ford's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Ford's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Ford's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Ford. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Ford's management manipulating its earnings.
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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7th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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6th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Ford technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ford technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ford trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...