Impact ISR Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

0P0000VQ56  EUR 54.46  0.10  0.18%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impact ISR Performance on the next trading day is expected to be 54.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.27. Impact Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Impact ISR is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Impact ISR Performance value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Impact ISR Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impact ISR Performance on the next trading day is expected to be 54.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impact Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impact ISR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Impact ISR Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Impact ISRImpact ISR Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Impact ISR Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Impact ISR's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Impact ISR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.97 and 55.25, respectively. We have considered Impact ISR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
54.46
54.61
Expected Value
55.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impact ISR fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impact ISR fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2831
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors17.2716
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Impact ISR Performance. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Impact ISR. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Impact ISR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impact ISR Performance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.8254.4655.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.8054.4455.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
52.0553.4854.91
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Impact ISR

For every potential investor in Impact, whether a beginner or expert, Impact ISR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Impact Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Impact. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Impact ISR's price trends.

Impact ISR Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Impact ISR fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Impact ISR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Impact ISR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Impact ISR Performance Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Impact ISR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Impact ISR's current price.

Impact ISR Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Impact ISR fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Impact ISR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Impact ISR fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Impact ISR Performance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Impact ISR Risk Indicators

The analysis of Impact ISR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Impact ISR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impact fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Impact Fund

Impact ISR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impact Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impact with respect to the benefits of owning Impact ISR security.
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