Cash Account Money Market Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

DCMXX Fund  USD 1.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cash Account Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Cash Money Market Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Cash Account is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cash Account Trust value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cash Account Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cash Account Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cash Money Market Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cash Account's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cash Account Money Market Fund Forecast Pattern

Cash Account Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cash Account's Money Market Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cash Account's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.88 and 1.12, respectively. We have considered Cash Account's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.00
1.00
Expected Value
1.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cash Account money market fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cash Account money market fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cash Account Trust. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cash Account. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cash Account

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cash Account Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the money market fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the money market fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cash Account's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.881.001.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.881.001.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cash Account

For every potential investor in Cash, whether a beginner or expert, Cash Account's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cash Money Market Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cash. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cash Account's price trends.

Cash Account Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cash Account money market fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cash Account could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cash Account by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cash Account Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics

The money market fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cash Account's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cash Account's current price.

Cash Account Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cash Account money market fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cash Account shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cash Account money market fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Cash Account Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cash Account Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cash Account's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cash Account's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cash money market fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Cash Money Market Fund

Cash Account financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cash Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cash with respect to the benefits of owning Cash Account security.
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities