Euronet Worldwide Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EEFT Stock  USD 103.46  0.06  0.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Euronet Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 102.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.12. Euronet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Euronet Worldwide's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 12.30 in 2024, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 5.18 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 278.9 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 45.2 M in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Euronet Worldwide's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1996-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.1 B
Current Value
2.3 B
Quarterly Volatility
644.3 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Euronet Worldwide is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Euronet Worldwide value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Euronet Worldwide Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Euronet Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 102.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10, mean absolute percentage error of 1.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Euronet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Euronet Worldwide's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Euronet Worldwide Stock Forecast Pattern

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Euronet Worldwide Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Euronet Worldwide's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Euronet Worldwide's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 101.31 and 103.89, respectively. We have considered Euronet Worldwide's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
103.46
101.31
Downside
102.60
Expected Value
103.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Euronet Worldwide stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Euronet Worldwide stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6542
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1004
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0109
SAESum of the absolute errors67.1223
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Euronet Worldwide. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Euronet Worldwide. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Euronet Worldwide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Euronet Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.67103.97105.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.12104.42105.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
101.34104.15106.96
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
96.64106.20117.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Euronet Worldwide. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Euronet Worldwide's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Euronet Worldwide's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Euronet Worldwide.

Other Forecasting Options for Euronet Worldwide

For every potential investor in Euronet, whether a beginner or expert, Euronet Worldwide's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Euronet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Euronet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Euronet Worldwide's price trends.

Euronet Worldwide Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Euronet Worldwide stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Euronet Worldwide could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Euronet Worldwide by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Euronet Worldwide Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Euronet Worldwide's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Euronet Worldwide's current price.

Euronet Worldwide Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Euronet Worldwide stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Euronet Worldwide shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Euronet Worldwide stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Euronet Worldwide entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Euronet Worldwide Risk Indicators

The analysis of Euronet Worldwide's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Euronet Worldwide's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting euronet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Euronet Stock Analysis

When running Euronet Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure Euronet Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Euronet Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Euronet Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Euronet Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Euronet Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Euronet Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.