Israel Acquisitions Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ISRL Stock  USD 11.35  0.03  0.27%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Israel Acquisitions Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.78. Israel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Israel Acquisitions' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Israel Acquisitions' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Israel Acquisitions fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Israel Acquisitions' Receivables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 1.42 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 18.20. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 20.2 M this year, although the value of Net Loss will most likely fall to (68 K).

Israel Acquisitions Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Israel Acquisitions' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2008-03-31
Previous Quarter
66.9 K
Current Value
26.7 K
Quarterly Volatility
9.5 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Israel Acquisitions is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Israel Acquisitions Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Israel Acquisitions Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Israel Acquisitions Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Israel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Israel Acquisitions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Israel Acquisitions Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Israel AcquisitionsIsrael Acquisitions Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Israel Acquisitions Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Israel Acquisitions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Israel Acquisitions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.14 and 11.51, respectively. We have considered Israel Acquisitions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.35
11.33
Expected Value
11.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Israel Acquisitions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Israel Acquisitions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.965
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0128
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0011
SAESum of the absolute errors0.778
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Israel Acquisitions Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Israel Acquisitions. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Israel Acquisitions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Israel Acquisitions Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1311.3211.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.309.4912.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Israel Acquisitions

For every potential investor in Israel, whether a beginner or expert, Israel Acquisitions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Israel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Israel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Israel Acquisitions' price trends.

Israel Acquisitions Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Israel Acquisitions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Israel Acquisitions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Israel Acquisitions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Israel Acquisitions Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Israel Acquisitions' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Israel Acquisitions' current price.

Israel Acquisitions Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Israel Acquisitions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Israel Acquisitions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Israel Acquisitions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Israel Acquisitions Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Israel Acquisitions Risk Indicators

The analysis of Israel Acquisitions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Israel Acquisitions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting israel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Israel Acquisitions Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Israel Acquisitions' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Israel Acquisitions' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Israel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Israel Acquisitions to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Israel Acquisitions. If investors know Israel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Israel Acquisitions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Earnings Share
0.3
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Israel Acquisitions Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Israel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Israel Acquisitions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Israel Acquisitions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Israel Acquisitions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Israel Acquisitions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Israel Acquisitions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Israel Acquisitions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Israel Acquisitions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.