Mars Acquisition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MARXR Stock | 0.38 0.01 2.70% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mars Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.11. Mars Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Mars |
Mars Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mars Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mars Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mars Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mars Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mars Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mars Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.6338 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0183 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0697 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.1142 |
Predictive Modules for Mars Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mars Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mars Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mars Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mars Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mars Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mars Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mars Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mars Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mars Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mars Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mars Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mars Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mars Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mars Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mars stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.21 | |||
| Variance | 104.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 170.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 54.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Mars Acquisition
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mars Acquisition position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mars Acquisition will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Mars Stock
Moving against Mars Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mars Acquisition could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mars Acquisition when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mars Acquisition - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mars Acquisition Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Mars Acquisition is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mars Acquisition moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mars Acquisition Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mars Acquisition can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Mars Stock Analysis
When running Mars Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Mars Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mars Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Mars Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mars Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mars Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mars Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.