NetEase Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NETE34 Stock | BRL 57.18 0.18 0.32% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NetEase on the next trading day is expected to be 55.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.63. NetEase Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NetEase stock prices and determine the direction of NetEase's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NetEase's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
NetEase |
NetEase Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NetEase on the next trading day is expected to be 55.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 2.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NetEase Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NetEase's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NetEase Stock Forecast Pattern
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NetEase Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NetEase's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NetEase's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 52.75 and 58.95, respectively. We have considered NetEase's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NetEase stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NetEase stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0857 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2562 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0251 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 76.6312 |
Predictive Modules for NetEase
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetEase. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for NetEase
For every potential investor in NetEase, whether a beginner or expert, NetEase's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NetEase Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NetEase. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NetEase's price trends.NetEase Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NetEase stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NetEase could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NetEase by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NetEase Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NetEase's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NetEase's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NetEase Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NetEase stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NetEase shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NetEase stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NetEase entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NetEase Risk Indicators
The analysis of NetEase's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NetEase's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting netease stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Variance | 9.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NetEase Stock
When determining whether NetEase is a strong investment it is important to analyze NetEase's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NetEase's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NetEase Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NetEase to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade NetEase Stock refer to our How to Trade NetEase Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.