Silver Bullet Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SBDS Stock | 62.50 1.00 1.57% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silver Bullet Data on the next trading day is expected to be 56.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.59. Silver Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Silver |
Silver Bullet Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silver Bullet Data on the next trading day is expected to be 56.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27, mean absolute percentage error of 8.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silver Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silver Bullet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Silver Bullet Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Silver Bullet | Silver Bullet Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Silver Bullet Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Silver Bullet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silver Bullet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.39 and 60.91, respectively. We have considered Silver Bullet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silver Bullet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silver Bullet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.2307 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.272 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0456 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 138.5929 |
Predictive Modules for Silver Bullet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Bullet Data. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Silver Bullet
For every potential investor in Silver, whether a beginner or expert, Silver Bullet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silver Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silver. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silver Bullet's price trends.Silver Bullet Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silver Bullet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silver Bullet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silver Bullet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Silver Bullet Data Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Silver Bullet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Silver Bullet's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Silver Bullet Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silver Bullet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silver Bullet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silver Bullet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silver Bullet Data entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Silver Bullet Risk Indicators
The analysis of Silver Bullet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silver Bullet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silver stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.78 | |||
| Variance | 22.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 43.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Silver Stock Analysis
When running Silver Bullet's price analysis, check to measure Silver Bullet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Silver Bullet is operating at the current time. Most of Silver Bullet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Silver Bullet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Silver Bullet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Silver Bullet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.