Correlation Between ABN AMRO and FirstRand

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ABN AMRO and FirstRand at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ABN AMRO and FirstRand into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ABN AMRO Bank and FirstRand Ltd ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ABN AMRO and FirstRand and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ABN AMRO with a short position of FirstRand. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ABN AMRO and FirstRand.

Diversification Opportunities for ABN AMRO and FirstRand

0.79

Correlation Coefficient

ABN AMRO  FirstRand

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ABN and FirstRand is 0.79. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ABN AMRO Bank and FirstRand Ltd ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on FirstRand ADR and ABN AMRO is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ABN AMRO Bank are associated (or correlated) with FirstRand. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of FirstRand ADR has no effect on the direction of ABN AMRO i.e., ABN AMRO and FirstRand go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ABN AMRO and FirstRand

Assuming the 90 days horizon ABN AMRO Bank is expected to under-perform the FirstRand. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ABN AMRO Bank is 1.51 times less risky than FirstRand. The pink sheet trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The FirstRand Ltd ADR is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,560  in FirstRand Ltd ADR on September 15, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (47.00) from holding FirstRand Ltd ADR or give up 1.03% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

ABN AMRO Bank  vs.  FirstRand Ltd ADR

ABN AMRO Bank

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ABN AMRO Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

FirstRand ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days FirstRand Ltd ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, FirstRand is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with ABN AMRO and FirstRand

The main advantage of trading using opposite ABN AMRO and FirstRand positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ABN AMRO position performs unexpectedly, FirstRand can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in FirstRand will offset losses from the drop in FirstRand's long position.

The idea behind ABN AMRO Bank and FirstRand Ltd ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.