Correlation Between Bank Negara and PT Cilacap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bank Negara and PT Cilacap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bank Negara and PT Cilacap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bank Negara Indonesia and PT Cilacap Samudera, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bank Negara and PT Cilacap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bank Negara with a short position of PT Cilacap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bank Negara and PT Cilacap.

Diversification Opportunities for Bank Negara and PT Cilacap

0.72
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Bank and ASHA is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bank Negara Indonesia and PT Cilacap Samudera in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PT Cilacap Samudera and Bank Negara is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bank Negara Indonesia are associated (or correlated) with PT Cilacap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PT Cilacap Samudera has no effect on the direction of Bank Negara i.e., Bank Negara and PT Cilacap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bank Negara and PT Cilacap

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Negara Indonesia is expected to generate 0.38 times more return on investment than PT Cilacap. However, Bank Negara Indonesia is 2.63 times less risky than PT Cilacap. It trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. PT Cilacap Samudera is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  565,000  in Bank Negara Indonesia on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (77,000) from holding Bank Negara Indonesia or give up 13.63% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Bank Negara Indonesia  vs.  PT Cilacap Samudera

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Bank Negara Indonesia 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Bank Negara Indonesia has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
PT Cilacap Samudera 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days PT Cilacap Samudera has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Bank Negara and PT Cilacap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Bank Negara and PT Cilacap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bank Negara and PT Cilacap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bank Negara position performs unexpectedly, PT Cilacap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PT Cilacap will offset losses from the drop in PT Cilacap's long position.
The idea behind Bank Negara Indonesia and PT Cilacap Samudera pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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