Correlation Between Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Grayscale Bitcoin Mini and Overlay Shares Core, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Grayscale Bitcoin with a short position of Overlay Shares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares.

Diversification Opportunities for Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares

-0.6

Correlation Coefficient

Grayscale Bitcoin  Overlay Shares

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Grayscale and Overlay is -0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Grayscale Bitcoin Mini and Overlay Shares Core in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Overlay Shares Core and Grayscale Bitcoin is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Grayscale Bitcoin Mini are associated (or correlated) with Overlay Shares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Overlay Shares Core has no effect on the direction of Grayscale Bitcoin i.e., Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Grayscale Bitcoin Mini is expected to generate 7.47 times more return on investment than Overlay Shares. However, Grayscale Bitcoin is 7.47 times more volatile than Overlay Shares Core. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Overlay Shares Core is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,575  in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,734  from holding Grayscale Bitcoin Mini or generate 67.34% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini  vs.  Overlay Shares Core

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini

Risk-Adjusted Performance

20 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather inconsistent basic indicators, Grayscale Bitcoin exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Overlay Shares Core

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Overlay Shares Core are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Overlay Shares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Grayscale Bitcoin and Overlay Shares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Grayscale Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, Overlay Shares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Overlay Shares will offset losses from the drop in Overlay Shares' long position.

The idea behind Grayscale Bitcoin Mini and Overlay Shares Core pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.