Correlation Between Baytex Energy and ARC Resources

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Baytex Energy and ARC Resources at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Baytex Energy and ARC Resources into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Baytex Energy Corp and ARC Resources, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Baytex Energy and ARC Resources and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Baytex Energy with a short position of ARC Resources. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Baytex Energy and ARC Resources.

Diversification Opportunities for Baytex Energy and ARC Resources

0.21
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Baytex and ARC is 0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Baytex Energy Corp and ARC Resources in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ARC Resources and Baytex Energy is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Baytex Energy Corp are associated (or correlated) with ARC Resources. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ARC Resources has no effect on the direction of Baytex Energy i.e., Baytex Energy and ARC Resources go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Baytex Energy and ARC Resources

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baytex Energy is expected to generate 6.51 times less return on investment than ARC Resources. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Baytex Energy Corp is 1.0 times less risky than ARC Resources. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ARC Resources is currently generating about 0.23 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,306  in ARC Resources on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  275.00  from holding ARC Resources or generate 11.93% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Baytex Energy Corp  vs.  ARC Resources

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Baytex Energy Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Baytex Energy Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors.
ARC Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ARC Resources are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, ARC Resources may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Baytex Energy and ARC Resources Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Baytex Energy and ARC Resources

The main advantage of trading using opposite Baytex Energy and ARC Resources positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Baytex Energy position performs unexpectedly, ARC Resources can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ARC Resources will offset losses from the drop in ARC Resources' long position.
The idea behind Baytex Energy Corp and ARC Resources pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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