Correlation Between Cocoa and Orange Juice

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cocoa and Orange Juice at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cocoa and Orange Juice into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cocoa and Orange Juice, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cocoa and Orange Juice and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cocoa with a short position of Orange Juice. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cocoa and Orange Juice.

Diversification Opportunities for Cocoa and Orange Juice

0.18

Correlation Coefficient

Cocoa  Orange Juice

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cocoa and Orange is 0.18. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cocoa and Orange Juice in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orange Juice and Cocoa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cocoa are associated (or correlated) with Orange Juice. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orange Juice has no effect on the direction of Cocoa i.e., Cocoa and Orange Juice go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cocoa and Orange Juice

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cocoa is expected to generate 1.28 times more return on investment than Orange Juice. However, Cocoa is 1.28 times more volatile than Orange Juice. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Orange Juice is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  245,200  in Cocoa on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  661,600  from holding Cocoa or generate 269.82% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Cocoa  vs.  Orange Juice

Cocoa

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cocoa are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Cocoa exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Orange Juice

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Orange Juice has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Orange Juice is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Cocoa and Orange Juice

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cocoa and Orange Juice positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cocoa position performs unexpectedly, Orange Juice can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orange Juice will offset losses from the drop in Orange Juice's long position.

The idea behind Cocoa and Orange Juice pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.