Correlation Between Cocoa and Palladium

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cocoa and Palladium at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cocoa and Palladium into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cocoa and Palladium, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cocoa and Palladium and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cocoa with a short position of Palladium. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cocoa and Palladium.

Diversification Opportunities for Cocoa and Palladium

-0.26
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cocoa and Palladium is -0.26. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cocoa and Palladium in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Palladium and Cocoa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cocoa are associated (or correlated) with Palladium. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Palladium has no effect on the direction of Cocoa i.e., Cocoa and Palladium go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cocoa and Palladium

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cocoa is expected to generate 1.1 times more return on investment than Palladium. However, Cocoa is 1.1 times more volatile than Palladium. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Palladium is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  727,000  in Cocoa on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  179,800  from holding Cocoa or generate 24.73% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cocoa  vs.  Palladium

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cocoa are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Cocoa exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Palladium 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Palladium are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Palladium may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Cocoa and Palladium Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cocoa and Palladium

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cocoa and Palladium positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cocoa position performs unexpectedly, Palladium can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Palladium will offset losses from the drop in Palladium's long position.
The idea behind Cocoa and Palladium pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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